Friendlies · Mar 27, 2026 20:15

Morocco
PWR 80
1-0
predicted

Ecuador
PWR 49
49% 24% 27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Morocco to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (42%)1-0 (28%)2-0 (9%)0-1 (8%)1-1 (6%)3-0 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
6%
Under 2.5 94%
94%
BTTS No
No 9%
Over 3.5
2%
Team Comparison
75Attack35
80Defense83
Goals/G
2.11.0
Conc/G
0.60.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Morocco DDWWW
STABLE
Ecuador WDDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Friendlies
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
Morocco
vs
0.20
Ecuador
Goal Probability
Morocco
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
Ecuador
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (34%)1-0 (28%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (9%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 66% 34% OVER
1.5 29% 71% UNDER
2.5 10% 90% UNDER
3.5 2% 98% UNDER
4.5 1% 100% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#7
Morocco
+53
Gap
#60
Ecuador
WR 86% 19 pts WR 25% 6 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Morocco761015419
Ecuador4130426
Morocco 16.0%
Jan 18 Morocco v Arsenal 0-0
Jan 14 Morocco v Algeria 0-0
Jan 09 Morocco v Cameroon 0-2
Jan 04 Morocco v Tainan … 1-0
Dec 29 Morocco v Zambia 0-3
Dec 26 Morocco v Mali 1-1
Dec 21 Morocco v Como 2-0
Dec 18 Morocco v Jordan 1-1
Dec 15 Morocco v United … 3-0
Dec 11 Morocco v Serbia 1-0
Ecuador 14.0%
Nov 19 Ecuador v New Zea… 2-0
Nov 14 Ecuador v Granada 0-0
Oct 15 Ecuador v New Mex… 1-1
Oct 11 Ecuador v USFA 1-1
Sep 09 Ecuador v Argenti… 1-0
Sep 04 Ecuador v Paraguay 0-0
Jun 11 Ecuador v Peru 0-0
Mar 26 Ecuador v Chile 0-0
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
66%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Morocco in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.