Friendlies · Mar 27, 2026 15:00

Russia
PWR 75

Mali
PWR 53

Russia
PWR 75
1-0
predicted

Mali
PWR 53
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Russia to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (30%)0-0 (29%)2-0 (16%)1-1 (6%)0-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
13%
Under 2.5
87%
87%
BTTS
No
No 12%
Over 3.5
22%
Team Comparison
88Attack26
76Defense83
Goals/G
2.50.8
Conc/G
0.70.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Russia
LDWWW
STABLE
Mali
LDDDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Friendlies
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Russiavs
0.20
MaliGoal Probability
Russia
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Mali
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (20%)1-0 (19%)3-0 (14%)0-0 (9%)4-0 (7%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 69% | 32% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 3.5 | 22% | 79% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Russia+42
Gap#47
Mali
WR 60% 21 pts
WR 50% 7 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 21 |
| Mali | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
Russia
14.0%
| Nov 15 | Russia v Chile | 0-2 |
| Nov 12 | Russia v Peru | 1-1 |
| Oct 14 | Russia v Olimpia | 3-0 |
| Oct 10 | Russia v Zira | 2-1 |
| Sep 07 | Russia v Qatar | 1-4 |
| Sep 04 | Russia v Jordan | 0-0 |
| Jun 10 | Russia v Aris | 1-4 |
| Jun 06 | Russia v Algeria | 1-1 |
| Mar 25 | Russia v Zambia | 5-0 |
| Mar 19 | Russia v Rennes … | 5-0 |
Mali
8.0%
| Jan 09 | Mali v Arsenal | 0-1 |
| Jan 03 | Mali v Tunisia | 1-1 |
| Dec 29 | Mali v Como | 0-0 |
| Dec 26 | Mali v Morocco | 1-1 |
| Dec 22 | Mali v Zambia | 1-1 |
| Nov 26 | Mali v AS Roma | 0-0 |
| Nov 18 | Mali v Jordan | 0-0 |
| Nov 17 | Mali v Bari | 1-2 |
| Oct 14 | Mali v Mozambi… | 0-1 |
| Oct 09 | Mali v Algeria | 0-3 |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Russia in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.