Liga Nacional · Mar 23, 2026 02:00
Malacateco FC
PWR 35
Aurora
PWR 35
Malacateco FC
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Aurora
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Malacateco FC Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (15%)2-0 (13%)1-0 (7%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (5%)1-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
83%
Home/Draw
1.27x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.59x
Over 2.5
60%
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
9%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Malacateco FC
LLLLD
DOWN
Aurora
LLLDD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.49
Malacateco FCvs
0.38
AuroraGoal Probability
Malacateco …
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Aurora
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (19%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 82% | 19% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 2.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Malacateco …-1
Gap#4
Aurora
WR 64% 31 pts
WR 27% 39 pts
Malacateco FC
2.0%
| Mar 19 | Malacat… v Mictlán | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | Malacat… v Mixco | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | Malacat… v Marquen… | 1-0 |
| Mar 04 | Malacat… v Comunic… | 3-2 |
| Mar 01 | Malacat… v Antigua… | 2-2 |
| Feb 24 | Malacat… v Cobán I… | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Malacat… v Achuapa | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | Malacat… v Xelajú | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Malacat… v Guastat… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Malacat… v Municip… | 1-3 |
Aurora
4.0%
| Mar 19 | Aurora v Guastat… | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | Aurora v Municip… | 4-1 |
| Mar 11 | Aurora v Mictlán | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | Aurora v XelajĂş | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Aurora v Mixco | 1-1 |
| Feb 26 | Aurora v Marquen… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Aurora v Comunic… | 2-0 |
| Feb 19 | Aurora v Antigua… | 2-0 |
| Feb 15 | Aurora v Cobán I… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Aurora v Achuapa | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Feb 01, 2026 | Aurora | 1-0 | Malacateco FC |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Aurora | 2-1 | Malacateco FC |
| Dec 07, 2025 | Malacateco FC | 1-0 | Aurora |
| Nov 09, 2025 | Malacateco FC | 1-0 | Aurora |
| Sep 07, 2025 | Aurora | 1-0 | Malacateco FC |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
48%
Market
63%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Malacateco FC struggling (4L in last 5)
Aurora struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.