FAW Championship · Mar 28, 2026 14:00
Caernarfon Town
PWR 55
Baglan Dragons
PWR 41
PWR 41
1-1
predicted
Caernarfon Town
PWR 55
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-3 (14%)0-2 (11%)0-1 (5%)1-3 (4%)1-2 (3%)1-1 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
No
No 25%
Over 3.5
52%
Team Comparison
41Attack63
54Defense55
Goals/G
1.21.8
Conc/G
1.31.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Baglan Dragons
DLLWL
STABLE
Caernarfon Town
LDWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FAW Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Baglan Dragonsvs
4.00
Caernarfon TownGoal Probability
Baglan Drag…
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Caernarfon …
0
2%
1
7%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (9%)1-3 (8%)0-2 (8%)1-1 (7%)0-3 (6%)0-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 4.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
League Position
#22
Baglan Drag…-19
Gap#3
Caernarfon …
WR 25% 63 pts
WR 45% 143 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baglan Dragons | 56 | 14 | 21 | 21 | 66 | 74 | 63 |
| Caernarfon To… | 85 | 38 | 29 | 18 | 152 | 109 | 143 |
Baglan Dragons
6.0%
| Mar 20 | Baglan … v Ammanfo… | 0-0 |
| Mar 17 | Baglan … v Treowen… | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Baglan … v Caerau … | 0-5 |
| Mar 06 | Baglan … v Newport… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Baglan … v Pontypr… | 2-0 |
| Feb 17 | Baglan … v Trefelin | 3-0 |
| Feb 14 | Baglan … v Cardiff… | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Baglan … v Aberyst… | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Baglan … v Ynyshir… | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | Baglan … v Llantwi… | 0-0 |
Caernarfon Town
8.0%
| Mar 21 | Caernar… v Bala To… | 2-1 |
| Mar 21 | Caernar… v Ynyshir… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Caernar… v Cardiff… | 2-3 |
| Mar 13 | Caernar… v GAP Con… | 2-4 |
| Mar 08 | Caernar… v Rhyl | 0-0 |
| Mar 06 | Caernar… v Trethom… | 4-5 |
| Mar 01 | Caernar… v Newport… | 4-4 |
| Feb 27 | Caernar… v Colwyn … | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Caernar… v Caerau … | 3-4 |
| Feb 20 | Caernar… v The New… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Aug 25, 2025 | Caernarfon To… | 0-0 | Baglan Dragons |
| Apr 05, 2025 | Baglan Dragons | 1-1 | Caernarfon To… |
| Apr 01, 2024 | Baglan Dragons | 2-2 | Caernarfon To… |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Baglan Dragons struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.