FAW Championship · Mar 28, 2026 14:00
Llantwit Major
PWR 50
PWR 50
2-1
predicted
Caerau (Ely)
PWR 52
PWR 52
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Llantwit Major to win (63% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
63%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-2 (6%)2-2 (6%)1-3 (6%)2-3 (6%)1-1 (4%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
78%
78%
Under 2.5
22%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 82%
Over 3.5
67%
67%
Team Comparison
50Attack63
57Defense49
Goals/G
1.41.8
Conc/G
1.21.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Llantwit Major
WLWWW
STABLE
Caerau (Ely)
DWWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FAW Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Llantwit Majorvs
2.94
Caerau (Ely)Goal Probability
Llantwit Ma…
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Caerau (Ely)
0
5%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
17%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-2 (6%)3-2 (6%)1-1 (5%)2-3 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 84% | 17% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 5.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Llantwit Ma…+7
Gap#15
Caerau (Ely)
WR 40% 111 pts
WR 42% 81 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llantwit Major | 75 | 30 | 21 | 24 | 108 | 92 | 111 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 55 | 23 | 12 | 20 | 99 | 80 | 81 |
Llantwit Major
16.0%
| Mar 20 | Llantwi… v Afan Li… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Llantwi… v Ammanfo… | 2-3 |
| Mar 10 | Llantwi… v Cwmbran… | 1-3 |
| Mar 06 | Llantwi… v Pontypr… | 0-4 |
| Mar 03 | Llantwi… v Treowen… | 3-2 |
| Feb 28 | Llantwi… v Trefelin | 0-1 |
| Feb 24 | Llantwi… v Ynyshir… | 2-3 |
| Feb 20 | Llantwi… v Newport… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Llantwi… v Cwmbran… | 3-1 |
| Jan 30 | Llantwi… v Caernar… | 1-1 |
Caerau (Ely)
18.0%
| Mar 21 | Caerau … v Cwmbran… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Caerau … v Baglan … | 0-5 |
| Mar 10 | Caerau … v Treowen… | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Caerau … v Afan Li… | 4-1 |
| Mar 01 | Caerau … v Aberyst… | 0-4 |
| Feb 21 | Caerau … v Caernar… | 3-4 |
| Feb 13 | Caerau … v Cambria… | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | Caerau … v Ammanfo… | 3-1 |
| Jan 31 | Caerau … v Bangor … | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Caerau … v Trethom… | 1-5 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Sep 12, 2025 | Caerau (Ely) | 0-0 | Llantwit Major |
| Apr 05, 2025 | Llantwit Major | 1-0 | Caerau (Ely) |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
36%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Llantwit Major in strong form (4W in last 5)
Caerau (Ely) in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.