Championship · Mar 28, 2026 13:00
Morton
PWR 35
Arbroath
PWR 35
Morton
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Arbroath
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (29%)1-0 (27%)2-0 (12%)0-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
13%
Under 2.5
87%
87%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Morton
WDLLL
STABLE
Arbroath
WDDDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 43% at home = very high riskH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskCombined DR 64% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Mortonvs
0.31
ArbroathGoal Probability
Morton
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Arbroath
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (16%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 2.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Morton-5
Gap#3
Arbroath
WR 29% 30 pts
WR 36% 43 pts
Morton
6.0%
| Mar 21 | Morton v Ayr Utd | 0-1 |
| Mar 13 | Morton v Partick | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Morton v ST John… | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | Morton v Airdrie… | 3-1 |
| Feb 21 | Morton v Queen's… | 3-2 |
| Feb 17 | Morton v Dunferm… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Morton v Raith R… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Morton v Ross Co… | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Morton v Arbroath | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | Morton v Stenhou… | 4-0 |
Arbroath
12.0%
| Mar 21 | Arbroath v Queen's… | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Arbroath v Airdrie… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Arbroath v Ross Co… | 0-0 |
| Mar 03 | Arbroath v Ayr Utd | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Arbroath v Partick | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Arbroath v Dunferm… | 4-2 |
| Feb 03 | Arbroath v Airdrie… | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Arbroath v Queen's… | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Arbroath v Morton | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | Arbroath v Airdrie… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 23, 2026 | Arbroath | 1-1 | Morton |
| Nov 08, 2025 | Morton | 1-0 | Arbroath |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Arbroath | 1-1 | Morton |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Arbroath | 1-2 | Morton |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Morton | 3-0 | Arbroath |
| Dec 09, 2023 | Arbroath | 1-2 | Morton |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Morton | 0-3 | Arbroath |
| Mar 17, 2023 | Arbroath | 1-1 | Morton |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Morton | 1-2 | Arbroath |
| Dec 03, 2022 | Arbroath | 1-1 | Morton |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
40%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Morton struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.