League One · Mar 28, 2026 15:00
Bolton
PWR 39
Stevenage
PWR 36
Bolton
PWR 39
1-0
predicted
Stevenage
PWR 36
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Bolton to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (18%)1-0 (15%)3-0 (15%)2-1 (7%)0-0 (6%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
No
No 27%
Over 3.5
21%
Team Comparison
38Attack32
73Defense71
Goals/G
1.31.1
Conc/G
0.91.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Bolton
LWLDD
STABLE
Stevenage
WDWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League One
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
Boltonvs
0.36
StevenageGoal Probability
Bolton
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Stevenage
0
70%
1
25%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-1 (11%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 3.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Bolton+3
Gap#6
Stevenage
WR 63% 66 pts
WR 32% 60 pts
Bolton
8.0%
| Mar 21 | Bolton v Carlisle | 6-2 |
| Mar 21 | Bolton v Stockpo… | 1-0 |
| Mar 21 | Bolton v Port Va… | 1-0 |
| Mar 17 | Bolton v Doncast… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Bolton v Rotherh… | 2-2 |
| Mar 14 | Bolton v Yeovil … | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Bolton v Wycombe | 1-2 |
| Mar 10 | Bolton v Doncast… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Bolton v Wycombe | 3-2 |
| Mar 07 | Bolton v Rochdale | 1-0 |
Stevenage
14.0%
| Mar 21 | Stevena… v Reading… | 1-0 |
| Mar 17 | Stevena… v Plymouth | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Stevena… v AFC Wim… | 1-0 |
| Mar 10 | Stevena… v Leyton … | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Stevena… v Brighto… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Stevena… v Stockpo… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Stevena… v Wycombe | 3-1 |
| Feb 17 | Stevena… v Port Va… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Stevena… v Hudders… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Stevena… v Northam… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 20, 2026 | Stevenage | 0-0 | Bolton |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Bolton | 2-1 | Stevenage |
| Oct 04, 2025 | Stevenage | 2-0 | Bolton |
| May 03, 2025 | Bolton | 1-1 | Stevenage |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Stevenage | 0-1 | Bolton |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Stevenage | 1-4 | Bolton |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Stevenage | 1-4 | Bolton |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Bolton | 0-0 | Stevenage |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Stevenage | 1-2 | Bolton |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Stevenage | 0-0 | Bolton |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
64%
Market
50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Stevenage in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.