League One · Mar 28, 2026 15:00
Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
Burnley
PWR 25
Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
1-1
predicted
Burnley
PWR 25
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (13%)0-1 (13%)2-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%
67%
BTTS
No 40%
Over 3.5
10%
Team Comparison
27Attack31
61Defense41
Goals/G
0.91.0
Conc/G
1.32.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Northampton To…
LLLLD
DOWN
Burnley
WLLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League One
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Northampton To…vs
0.96
BurnleyGoal Probability
Northampton…
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Burnley
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (19%)0-0 (17%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (11%)1-0 (11%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 53% | 48% | - |
| 2.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#16
Northampton…-8
Gap#8
Burnley
WR 26% 113 pts
WR 35% 146 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northampton T… | 113 | 29 | 26 | 58 | 110 | 166 | 113 |
| Burnley | 112 | 39 | 29 | 44 | 171 | 185 | 146 |
Northampton To…
2.0%
| Mar 21 | Northam… v Mansfie… | 4-1 |
| Mar 14 | Northam… v Brighto… | 0-2 |
| Mar 08 | Northam… v AFC Wim… | 1-0 |
| Mar 04 | Northam… v Bolton | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Northam… v Peterbo… | 1-1 |
| Feb 24 | Northam… v Port Va… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Northam… v Leyton … | 1-2 |
| Feb 17 | Northam… v Lincoln | 4-0 |
| Feb 14 | Northam… v Exeter … | 0-0 |
| Feb 10 | Northam… v AFC Wim… | 1-2 |
Burnley
8.0%
| Mar 21 | Burnley v Manches… | 1-0 |
| Mar 21 | Burnley v Doncast… | 0-1 |
| Mar 21 | Burnley v Fulham | 3-1 |
| Mar 14 | Burnley v Bournem… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Burnley v Mansfie… | 2-2 |
| Mar 14 | Burnley v Bristol… | 1-0 |
| Mar 10 | Burnley v Cardiff | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Burnley v Grimsby | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Burnley v Exeter … | 2-1 |
| Mar 03 | Burnley v Everton | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Feb 03, 2026 | Burnley | 2-2 | Northampton T… |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Northampton T… | 1-2 | Burnley |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Burnley | 2-2 | Northampton T… |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Burnley | 2-2 | Northampton T… |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Burnley | 1-1 | Northampton T… |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Burnley | 1-1 | Northampton T… |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Northampton T… | 1-2 | Burnley |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Northampton Town FC struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.