League Two · Mar 28, 2026 12:30
Newport County AFC
PWR 26
Harrogate
PWR 35
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Newport County AFC
PWR 26
31%
28%
41%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Harrogate to win (77% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
77%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (24%)0-1 (19%)1-0 (16%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (7%)2-0 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%
83%
BTTS
No
No 26%
Over 3.5
24%
Team Comparison
36Attack31
46Defense42
Goals/G
1.01.0
Conc/G
1.51.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Harrogate
LLLDD
DOWN
Newport County…
WLWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League Two
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Harrogatevs
0.78
Newport County…Goal Probability
Harrogate
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Newport Cou…
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (14%)0-2 (13%)1-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-0 (8%)0-3 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 3.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
Harrogate-12
Gap#1
Newport Cou…
WR 22% 117 pts
WR 36% 296 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrogate | 122 | 27 | 36 | 59 | 125 | 188 | 117 |
| Newport Count… | 231 | 83 | 47 | 101 | 312 | 340 | 296 |
Harrogate
4.0%
| Mar 21 | Harroga… v Oldham | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Harroga… v Watford | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Harroga… v Milton … | 4-1 |
| Feb 27 | Harroga… v Chelsea | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Harroga… v Burnley | 0-0 |
| Feb 17 | Harroga… v Barrow | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Harroga… v Chester… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Harroga… v Cambrid… | 2-1 |
| Feb 03 | Harroga… v Swindon | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Harroga… v Crawley… | 2-0 |
Newport County…
12.0%
| Mar 21 | Newport… v Chelsea | 5-2 |
| Mar 21 | Newport… v Walsall | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Newport… v Barnet | 1-2 |
| Mar 14 | Newport… v Chester… | 2-3 |
| Mar 07 | Newport… v Walsall | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Newport… v Manches… | 1-2 |
| Mar 03 | Newport… v Tranmer… | 3-1 |
| Feb 28 | Newport… v Grimsby | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Newport… v Fleetwo… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Newport… v Tranmer… | 5-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 15, 2025 | Newport Count… | 1-1 | Harrogate |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Harrogate | 0-3 | Newport Count… |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Harrogate | 1-3 | Newport Count… |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Harrogate | 1-3 | Newport Count… |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Newport Count… | 3-0 | Harrogate |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Newport Count… | 1-0 | Harrogate |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Newport Count… | 1-0 | Harrogate |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Harrogate | 1-0 | Newport Count… |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Newport Count… | 3-0 | Harrogate |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Newport Count… | 3-0 | Harrogate |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Newport County AFC in strong form (3W in last 5)
Harrogate struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.