Eerste Divisie · Mar 28, 2026 17:45
Willem II
PWR 35
De Graafschap
PWR 35
Willem II
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
De Graafschap
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (12%)2-0 (11%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (7%)0-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
BTTS
No 50%
Over 3.5
57%
57%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Willem II
WWDWL
STABLE
De Graafschap
LWLDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Eerste Divisie
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Willem IIvs
0.89
De GraafschapGoal Probability
Willem II
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
De Graafsch…
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (9%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)4-0 (7%)4-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 4.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 12% | 89% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Willem II-1
Gap#4
De Graafsch…
WR 47% 51 pts
WR 47% 52 pts
Willem II
14.0%
| Mar 22 | Willem … v MVV Maa… | 0-5 |
| Mar 13 | Willem … v FC OSS | 1-3 |
| Mar 08 | Willem … v Den Bos… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Willem … v Emmen | 0-3 |
| Feb 24 | Willem … v ADO Den… | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Willem … v Vitesse | 3-0 |
| Feb 16 | Willem … v Utrecht | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Willem … v Waalwijk | 2-1 |
| Feb 02 | Willem … v Jong AZ | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Willem … v VVV Ven… | 2-1 |
De Graafschap
10.0%
| Mar 22 | De Graa… v ADO Den… | 1-2 |
| Mar 14 | De Graa… v Dordrec… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | De Graa… v Vitesse | 1-4 |
| Feb 27 | De Graa… v MVV Maa… | 3-3 |
| Feb 20 | De Graa… v Utrecht | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | De Graa… v Jong PSV | 1-2 |
| Feb 06 | De Graa… v Jong AZ | 4-0 |
| Jan 31 | De Graa… v Helmond… | 0-0 |
| Jan 26 | De Graa… v Den Bos… | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | De Graa… v Waalwijk | 2-4 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 12, 2025 | De Graafschap | 1-1 | Willem II |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Willem II in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.