Second League · Mar 29, 2026 13:30
Marek
PWR 35
Spartak Varna
PWR 37
Marek
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Spartak Varna
PWR 37
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (22%)2-0 (17%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
31%
Under 2.5
69%
69%
BTTS
No
No 26%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
0Attack29
100Defense55
Goals/G
0.00.8
Conc/G
0.01.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Marek
WDLDL
STABLE
Spartak Varna
WLWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 36% at home = very high riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 61% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Marekvs
0.41
Spartak VarnaGoal Probability
Marek
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
Spartak Var…
0
66%
1
27%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)0-1 (7%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Marek+7
Gap#14
Spartak Var…
WR 33% 63 pts
WR 27% 40 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marek | 49 | 16 | 15 | 18 | 46 | 58 | 63 |
| Spartak Varna | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 48 | 40 |
Marek
8.0%
| Mar 21 | Marek v Lokomot… | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Marek v FK Miny… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Marek v Yantra … | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Marek v Fratria | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Marek v Sevlievo | 0-1 |
| Jan 28 | Marek v Sportis… | 3-3 |
| Dec 07 | Marek v Sportis… | 3-1 |
| Dec 02 | Marek v Ludogor… | 4-0 |
| Nov 23 | Marek v Etar Ve… | 4-1 |
| Nov 16 | Marek v Hebar 1… | 2-0 |
Spartak Varna
8.0%
| Mar 21 | Spartak… v Etar Ve… | 1-0 |
| Mar 19 | Spartak… v Ludogor… | 1-5 |
| Mar 14 | Spartak… v Hebar 1… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Spartak… v CSKA 19… | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Spartak… v Chernom… | 1-2 |
| Mar 06 | Spartak… v CSKA So… | 4-0 |
| Mar 03 | Spartak… v Montana | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Spartak… v Pirin B… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Spartak… v Arda Ka… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Spartak… v Lokomot… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 20, 2025 | Spartak Varna | 2-0 | Marek |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
82%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Spartak Varna struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.