Back Stats
Paulista - A4 · Mar 28, 2026 22:30
Penedense
PWR 52
1-0
predicted
AEA
PWR 35
55% 23% 22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Penedense to win (84% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
84%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (24%)2-0 (22%)0-0 (14%)3-0 (13%)1-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
31%
Under 2.5 69%
69%
BTTS No
No 15%
Over 3.5
5%
Team Comparison
44Attack0
67Defense100
Goals/G
1.30.0
Conc/G
1.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Penedense DDWDL
STABLE
AEA LDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Penedense
vs
0.20
AEA
Goal Probability
Penedense
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
AEA
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (26%)1-0 (26%)2-0 (13%)0-1 (9%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 74% 26% OVER
1.5 38% 62% -
2.5 15% 85% UNDER
3.5 5% 95% UNDER
4.5 1% 99% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#5
Penedense
+4
Gap
#9
AEA
WR 45% 33 pts WR 30% 24 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Penedense20965251933
AEA237313183824
Penedense 10.0%
Mar 21 Peneden… v Grêmio … 0-0
Mar 18 Peneden… v Zumbi 2-2
Mar 14 Peneden… v Naciona… 0-2
Mar 07 Peneden… v Inter d… 0-0
Mar 04 Peneden… v EC Leme… 1-0
Mar 02 Peneden… v ASA 0-1
Feb 28 Peneden… v Vocem 0-0
Feb 25 Peneden… v Taquari… 3-0
Feb 25 Peneden… v Londrina 1-0
Feb 21 Peneden… v São Cae… 0-2
AEA 2.0%
Mar 21 AEA v ECUS 2-0
Mar 14 AEA v Comerci… 0-0
Mar 07 AEA v Barretos 2-1
Mar 04 AEA v Inter d… 4-0
Feb 28 AEA v São Cae… 1-3
Feb 25 AEA v Joseense 2-0
Feb 21 AEA v Colorad… 1-0
Feb 14 AEA v Taquari… 2-0
Feb 11 AEA v EC Leme… 0-2
Feb 07 AEA v Tanabi 0-0
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
AEA struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.