Paulista - A4 · Mar 28, 2026 22:00
São Caetano
PWR 35
Grêmio Sãocarlense
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
São Caetano
PWR 35
27%
29%
44%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (24%)1-0 (22%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%
83%
BTTS
No
No 24%
Over 3.5
7%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Grêmio Sãocarl…
DLLWL
STABLE
São Caetano
WDWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Grêmio Sãocarl…vs
0.52
São CaetanoGoal Probability
Grêmio Sãoc…
0
41%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
São Caetano
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (22%)0-0 (21%)0-2 (11%)1-1 (11%)1-0 (11%)1-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 2.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Grêmio Sãoc…+1
Gap#5
São Caetano
WR 80% 18 pts
WR 50% 17 pts
Grêmio Sãocarl…
6.0%
| Mar 21 | Grêmio … v Peneden… | 0-0 |
| Mar 18 | Grêmio … v Taquari… | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Grêmio … v Jabaqua… | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | Grêmio … v Vocem | 1-0 |
| Mar 04 | Grêmio … v Barretos | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Grêmio … v Colorad… | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Grêmio … v Tanabi | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Grêmio … v Inter d… | 2-2 |
| Feb 14 | Grêmio … v Comerci… | 1-0 |
| Feb 10 | Grêmio … v ECUS | 1-1 |
São Caetano
18.0%
| Mar 21 | São Cae… v Barretos | 2-0 |
| Mar 18 | São Cae… v Tanabi | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | São Cae… v EC Leme… | 2-0 |
| Mar 07 | São Cae… v Taquari… | 1-2 |
| Mar 04 | São Cae… v Comerci… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | São Cae… v AEA | 1-3 |
| Feb 25 | São Cae… v ECUS | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | São Cae… v Peneden… | 0-2 |
| Feb 14 | São Cae… v Joseense | 0-0 |
| Feb 11 | São Cae… v Naciona… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Mar 01, 2025 | São Caetano | 2-1 | Grêmio Sãocar… |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
64%
Standings
61%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
São Caetano in strong form (4W in last 5)
Grêmio Sãocarlense struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.