Back Stats
Paulista - A4 · Mar 28, 2026 18:00
Jabaquara
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Comercial
PWR 35
35% 27% 38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (13%)0-1 (11%)0-0 (11%)2-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5 62%
62%
BTTS
No 45%
Over 3.5
8%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Jabaquara DWLDL
STABLE
Comercial WWDWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Jabaquara
vs
1.04
Comercial
Goal Probability
Jabaquara
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Comercial
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (21%)0-1 (21%)1-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (10%)1-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 79% 21% OVER
1.5 46% 54% -
2.5 21% 79% UNDER
3.5 7% 93% UNDER
4.5 2% 98% UNDER
5.5 1% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#14
Jabaquara
-2
Gap
#12
Comercial
WR 25% 5 pts WR 25% 7 pts
Jabaquara 8.0%
Mar 21 Jabaqua… v Taquari… 1-1
Mar 14 Jabaqua… v Grêmio … 3-1
Mar 08 Jabaqua… v ECUS 1-0
Mar 04 Jabaqua… v Vocem 2-2
Feb 28 Jabaqua… v Inter d… 0-1
Feb 25 Jabaqua… v Barretos 0-1
Feb 21 Jabaqua… v Tanabi 2-0
Feb 14 Jabaqua… v Colorad… 0-0
Feb 11 Jabaqua… v Joseense 0-2
Feb 07 Jabaqua… v São Cae… 2-0
Comercial 14.0%
Mar 21 Comerci… v Joseense 1-2
Mar 18 Comerci… v Vocem 3-1
Mar 14 Comerci… v AEA 0-0
Mar 07 Comerci… v Naciona… 2-0
Mar 04 Comerci… v São Cae… 2-1
Feb 28 Comerci… v EC Leme… 0-1
Feb 25 Comerci… v Colorad… 1-2
Feb 21 Comerci… v Barretos 1-2
Feb 14 Comerci… v Grêmio … 1-0
Feb 11 Comerci… v Taquari… 0-1
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Comercial in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.