Liga de Expansión MX · Mar 28, 2026 01:00
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
PWR 35
Leones Negros UDG
PWR 35
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Leones Negros UDG
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (9%)2-0 (6%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (4%)1-0 (3%)3-2 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
60%
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
No 47%
Over 3.5
50%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Alebrijes de O…
LDWLW
STABLE
Leones Negros …
LWDLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Liga de Expansión MX
Expected Goals (xG)
4.37
Alebrijes de O…vs
0.65
Leones Negros …Goal Probability
Alebrijes d…
0
1%
1
6%
2
12%
3
18%
4
19%
Leones Negr…
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)2-2 (7%)3-1 (5%)1-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 4.5 | 31% | 70% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
Alebrijes d…-7
Gap#6
Leones Negr…
WR 18% 13 pts
WR 25% 21 pts
Alebrijes de O…
10.0%
| Mar 21 | Alebrij… v CA La P… | 4-0 |
| Mar 14 | Alebrij… v Aguacat… | 0-0 |
| Mar 13 | Alebrij… v Tapatío | 4-3 |
| Mar 08 | Alebrij… v Irapuato | 6-2 |
| Mar 07 | Alebrij… v Poza Ri… | 5-1 |
| Feb 27 | Alebrij… v Dorados | 3-2 |
| Feb 22 | Alebrij… v CDM | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Alebrij… v Atlante… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Alebrij… v Tlaxcala | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Alebrij… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
Leones Negros …
10.0%
| Mar 22 | Leones … v Mineros… | 1-2 |
| Mar 21 | Leones … v Guerrer… | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Leones … v Dorados | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Leones … v Mineros… | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | Leones … v Cimarro… | 2-1 |
| Mar 05 | Leones … v CA La P… | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Leones … v Atlante… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Leones … v Ensenada | 1-4 |
| Feb 21 | Leones … v Atlante… | 3-0 |
| Feb 17 | Leones … v Durango | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 18, 2025 | Leones Negros… | 0-1 | Alebrijes de … |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
36%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.