First Division · Mar 28, 2026 19:30

Longford Town
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Finn Harps
PWR 35
45% 25% 30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Longford Town Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (30%)0-0 (26%)2-0 (17%)3-0 (6%)1-1 (6%)0-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
15%
Under 2.5 85%
85%
BTTS No
No 12%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Longford Town WDDDL
STABLE
Finn Harps DLDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 4/5 draws (80%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (36.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Longford Town
vs
0.20
Finn Harps
Goal Probability
Longford To…
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Finn Harps
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (20%)2-0 (14%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (8%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 87% 14% OVER
1.5 59% 41% -
2.5 32% 68% UNDER
3.5 14% 86% UNDER
4.5 5% 95% UNDER
5.5 2% 98% UNDER
6.5 1% 100% UNDER
League Position
#8
Longford To…
-2
Gap
#6
Finn Harps
WR 0% 3 pts WR 0% 5 pts
Longford Town 10.0%
Mar 21 Longfor… v Wexford 1-0
Mar 13 Longfor… v Cork Ci… 0-0
Mar 07 Longfor… v UCD 0-0
Feb 27 Longfor… v Kerry FC 1-1
Feb 21 Longfor… v Cobh Ra… 1-2
Feb 13 Longfor… v Bray Wa… 1-1
Jan 16 Longfor… v Bohemia… 2-1
Oct 17 Longfor… v Athlone… 1-2
Oct 10 Longfor… v Cobh Ra… 3-1
Oct 05 Longfor… v Treaty … 1-2
Finn Harps 10.0%
Mar 20 Finn Ha… v Kerry FC 0-0
Mar 13 Finn Ha… v Treaty … 0-1
Mar 06 Finn Ha… v Wexford 1-1
Feb 27 Finn Ha… v Cobh Ra… 1-1
Feb 20 Finn Ha… v UCD 2-1
Feb 13 Finn Ha… v Athlone… 2-1
Jan 31 Finn Ha… v Sligo R… 1-0
Jan 13 Finn Ha… v Sligo R… 1-0
Oct 17 Finn Ha… v UCD 3-4
Oct 13 Finn Ha… v Kerry FC 1-1
Head-to-Head (5)
Sep 05, 2025 Longford Town 1-1 Finn Harps
Jul 04, 2025 Finn Harps 0-0 Longford Town
May 17, 2025 Longford Town 0-0 Finn Harps
Apr 04, 2025 Finn Harps 1-1 Longford Town
Sep 13, 2024 Finn Harps 1-0 Longford Town
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.