Premier League · Mar 28, 2026 14:30
Penybont
PWR 35
Colwyn Bay
PWR 35
Penybont
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Colwyn Bay
PWR 35
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Penybont Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (35%)1-0 (29%)2-0 (12%)0-1 (7%)1-1 (6%)3-0 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
9%
Under 2.5
91%
91%
BTTS
No
No 11%
Over 3.5
17%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Penybont
LLLLD
DOWN
Colwyn Bay
DWLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateElevated draw risk (22.7%) - consider AHElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/0 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Penybontvs
0.21
Colwyn BayGoal Probability
Penybont
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Colwyn Bay
0
81%
1
17%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (12%)1-0 (11%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 2.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 3.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Penybont+3
Gap#6
Colwyn Bay
WR 46% 38 pts
WR 36% 30 pts
Penybont
2.0%
| Mar 21 | Penybont v GAP Con… | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Penybont v The New… | 1-2 |
| Mar 03 | Penybont v Bala To… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Penybont v Colwyn … | 3-1 |
| Feb 14 | Penybont v GAP Con… | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Penybont v The New… | 6-0 |
| Jan 24 | Penybont v Caernar… | 0-0 |
| Jan 13 | Penybont v Cardiff… | 1-1 |
| Jan 01 | Penybont v Llanell… | 0-1 |
| Dec 26 | Penybont v Briton … | 1-1 |
Colwyn Bay
10.0%
| Mar 20 | Colwyn … v The New… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Colwyn … v Bala To… | 3-1 |
| Feb 27 | Colwyn … v Caernar… | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Colwyn … v Penybont | 3-1 |
| Feb 13 | Colwyn … v The New… | 0-2 |
| Feb 07 | Colwyn … v Bala To… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Colwyn … v Caernar… | 4-1 |
| Jan 24 | Colwyn … v GAP Con… | 2-2 |
| Jan 13 | Colwyn … v The New… | 1-0 |
| Jan 01 | Colwyn … v Flint T… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Feb 21, 2026 | Colwyn Bay | 3-1 | Penybont |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Colwyn Bay | 5-4 | Penybont |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Penybont | 1-0 | Colwyn Bay |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Penybont | 5-0 | Colwyn Bay |
| Feb 03, 2024 | Colwyn Bay | 1-2 | Penybont |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Colwyn Bay | 2-1 | Penybont |
| Sep 09, 2023 | Penybont | 0-1 | Colwyn Bay |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
69%
Standings
57%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Penybont struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.