Premier League · Mar 27, 2026 19:45
Caernarfon Town
PWR 35
The New Saints
PWR 35
Caernarfon Town
PWR 35
2-3
predicted
The New Saints
PWR 35
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
The New Saints Win
Score
2-3
Confidence
37%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (12%)1-1 (11%)0-2 (10%)1-2 (10%)0-0 (7%)1-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
BTTS
Yes 51%
Over 3.5
56%
56%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Caernarfon Town
LDWLD
STABLE
The New Saints
DWWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMHOME_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (22.2%) - consider AHElite league - reduced threshold
Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Caernarfon Townvs
1.74
The New SaintsGoal Probability
Caernarfon …
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
The New Sai…
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (9%)1-3 (8%)0-2 (7%)1-1 (7%)0-3 (6%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 4.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 5.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Caernarfon …-3
Gap#1
The New Sai…
WR 36% 34 pts
WR 73% 53 pts
Caernarfon Town
8.0%
| Mar 21 | Caernar… v Bala To… | 2-1 |
| Mar 21 | Caernar… v Ynyshir… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Caernar… v Cardiff… | 2-3 |
| Mar 13 | Caernar… v GAP Con… | 2-4 |
| Mar 08 | Caernar… v Rhyl | 0-0 |
| Mar 06 | Caernar… v Trethom… | 4-5 |
| Mar 01 | Caernar… v Newport… | 4-4 |
| Feb 27 | Caernar… v Colwyn … | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Caernar… v Caerau … | 3-4 |
| Feb 20 | Caernar… v The New… | 2-1 |
The New Saints
14.0%
| Mar 20 | The New… v Colwyn … | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | The New… v Penybont | 1-2 |
| Mar 03 | The New… v GAP Con… | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | The New… v Bala To… | 0-2 |
| Feb 20 | The New… v Caernar… | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | The New… v Colwyn … | 0-2 |
| Feb 07 | The New… v Penybont | 6-0 |
| Jan 24 | The New… v Bala To… | 1-0 |
| Jan 13 | The New… v Colwyn … | 1-0 |
| Jan 06 | The New… v Bala To… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 20, 2026 | The New Saints | 2-1 | Caernarfon To… |
| Nov 28, 2025 | The New Saints | 2-0 | Caernarfon To… |
| Nov 04, 2025 | The New Saints | 3-0 | Caernarfon To… |
| Oct 07, 2025 | Caernarfon To… | 1-3 | The New Saints |
| Mar 11, 2025 | The New Saints | 2-0 | Caernarfon To… |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Caernarfon To… | 0-1 | The New Saints |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Caernarfon To… | 2-5 | The New Saints |
| Oct 09, 2024 | The New Saints | 1-2 | Caernarfon To… |
| Apr 05, 2024 | The New Saints | 7-1 | Caernarfon To… |
| Feb 23, 2024 | Caernarfon To… | 1-8 | The New Saints |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
39%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
The New Saints in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.