Queensland Premier League · Mar 28, 2026 09:00
Logan Lightning
PWR 35
Brisbane Roar
PWR 57
Logan Lightning
PWR 35
0-1
predicted
Brisbane Roar
PWR 57
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Brisbane Roar to win (55% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (44%)0-1 (23%)1-0 (13%)1-1 (7%)0-2 (6%)2-0 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
5%
Under 2.5
95%
95%
BTTS
No
No 10%
Over 3.5
23%
Team Comparison
0Attack61
100Defense65
Goals/G
0.01.8
Conc/G
0.01.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Logan Lightning
WDDWL
STABLE
Brisbane Roar
DLDLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Logan Lightningvs
0.51
Brisbane RoarGoal Probability
Logan Light…
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Brisbane Ro…
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (9%)0-1 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Logan Light…+2
Gap#3
Brisbane Ro…
WR 50% 32 pts
WR 44% 26 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightni… | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 32 |
| Brisbane Roar | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 16 | 26 |
Logan Lightning
12.0%
| Mar 21 | Logan L… v Caboolt… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Logan L… v Robina … | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Logan L… v Capalaba | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Logan L… v North S… | 4-0 |
| Feb 20 | Logan L… v Holland… | 2-0 |
| Aug 30 | Logan L… v Brisban… | 1-0 |
| Aug 27 | Logan L… v Rocheda… | 2-1 |
| Aug 24 | Logan L… v Broadbe… | 1-1 |
| Aug 16 | Logan L… v Rocheda… | 3-2 |
| Aug 03 | Logan L… v Magic U… | 5-0 |
Brisbane Roar
6.0%
| Mar 21 | Brisban… v Ipswich | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | Brisban… v Olympic | 1-2 |
| Mar 21 | Brisban… v Welling… | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | Brisban… v Gold Co… | 0-2 |
| Mar 13 | Brisban… v Western… | 2-2 |
| Mar 07 | Brisban… v Robina … | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Brisban… v Eastern… | 0-4 |
| Feb 28 | Brisban… v Capalaba | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | Brisban… v Perth G… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Brisban… v Moreton… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 30, 2025 | Logan Lightni… | 1-0 | Brisbane Roar |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.