Queensland Premier League · Mar 28, 2026 08:00

Capalaba
PWR 35
St George Willawong
PWR 35
PWR 35
2-0
predicted

Capalaba
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
St George Willawong Win
Score
2-0
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (10%)1-2 (9%)2-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)0-1 (6%)0-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
63%
63%
Under 2.5
37%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 66%
Over 3.5
57%
57%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
St George Will…
LLWLL
DOWN
Capalaba
LLDLL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (26.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
St George Will…vs
1.80
CapalabaGoal Probability
St George W…
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
Capalaba
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)3-0 (6%)1-1 (6%)4-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 4.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
St George W…+5
Gap#12
Capalaba
WR 0% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
St George Will…
4.0%
| Mar 20 | St Geor… v North S… | 1-0 |
| Mar 15 | St Geor… v Holland… | 0-1 |
| Mar 06 | St Geor… v Redland… | 0-2 |
| Feb 27 | St Geor… v Ipswich | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | St Geor… v Broadbe… | 1-5 |
| Aug 23 | St Geor… v Peninsu… | 1-1 |
| Aug 15 | St Geor… v Brisban… | 0-0 |
| Aug 10 | St Geor… v SC Wand… | 3-2 |
| Aug 02 | St Geor… v Moreton… | 2-5 |
| Jul 26 | St Geor… v Peninsu… | 5-0 |
Capalaba
2.0%
| Mar 22 | Capalaba v Broadbe… | 2-5 |
| Mar 14 | Capalaba v SC Wand… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Capalaba v Logan L… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Capalaba v Brisban… | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Capalaba v Caboolt… | 1-3 |
| Aug 24 | Capalaba v Magic U… | 1-6 |
| Aug 16 | Capalaba v Redland… | 0-1 |
| Aug 02 | Capalaba v Holland… | 2-3 |
| Jul 04 | Capalaba v Caboolt… | 4-1 |
| Jun 28 | Capalaba v Caboolt… | 1-2 |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
58%
Market
50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
St George Willawong struggling (4L in last 5)
Capalaba struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.