Queensland NPL · Mar 28, 2026 09:30
Lions
PWR 35
Brisbane Roar
PWR 57
Lions
PWR 35
3-2
predicted
Brisbane Roar
PWR 57
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Lions Win
Score
3-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (42%)0-1 (24%)1-0 (13%)1-1 (7%)0-2 (7%)1-2 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
6%
Under 2.5
94%
94%
BTTS
No
No 11%
Over 3.5
34%
Team Comparison
0Attack69
100Defense48
Goals/G
0.02.0
Conc/G
0.01.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Lions
WWWDL
UP
Brisbane Roar
DLDLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 5% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 100% at home = very high riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskCombined DR 125% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.5%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Lionsvs
0.57
Brisbane RoarGoal Probability
Lions
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Brisbane Ro…
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (13%)1-0 (12%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 3.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Lions+2
Gap#4
Brisbane Ro…
WR 59% 63 pts
WR 55% 56 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 65 | 42 | 63 |
| Brisbane Roar | 33 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 65 | 49 | 56 |
Lions
14.0%
| Mar 22 | Lions v Magic U… | 4-0 |
| Mar 14 | Lions v Eastern… | 0-3 |
| Mar 06 | Lions v Rocheda… | 1-3 |
| Feb 27 | Lions v Gold Co… | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Lions v Olympic | 2-1 |
| Oct 26 | Lions v TAFIC | 0-1 |
| Oct 18 | Lions v Orapa U… | 1-1 |
| Sep 20 | Lions v BDF XI | 0-0 |
| Sep 17 | Lions v Morupul… | 3-1 |
| Sep 06 | Lions v Peninsu… | 3-0 |
Brisbane Roar
6.0%
| Mar 21 | Brisban… v Ipswich | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | Brisban… v Olympic | 1-2 |
| Mar 21 | Brisban… v Welling… | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | Brisban… v Gold Co… | 0-2 |
| Mar 13 | Brisban… v Western… | 2-2 |
| Mar 07 | Brisban… v Robina … | 0-2 |
| Mar 07 | Brisban… v Eastern… | 0-4 |
| Feb 28 | Brisban… v Capalaba | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | Brisban… v Perth G… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Brisban… v Moreton… | 2-1 |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Lions in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.