Queensland NPL · Mar 28, 2026 08:00
Eastern Suburbs
PWR 35
Moreton City Excelsior
PWR 35
PWR 35
6-3
predicted
Eastern Suburbs
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Moreton City Excelsior Win
Score
6-3
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)1-0 (7%)2-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
65%
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 65%
Over 3.5
79%
79%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Moreton City E…
WLLWW
STABLE
Eastern Suburbs
LLWWL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Points within 3 = 32.1% draw rateElevated draw risk (23.7%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/0 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Moreton City E…vs
1.33
Eastern SuburbsGoal Probability
Moreton Cit…
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Eastern Sub…
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
3-2 (6%)2-2 (6%)3-1 (5%)2-1 (5%)4-2 (5%)3-3 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 80% | 21% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 5.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 6.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Moreton Cit…-6
Gap#3
Eastern Sub…
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 50% 6 pts
Moreton City E…
12.0%
| Mar 21 | Moreton… v Rocheda… | 1-0 |
| Mar 06 | Moreton… v WDSC Wo… | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Moreton… v Brisban… | 2-1 |
| Feb 20 | Moreton… v Gold Co… | 4-1 |
| Nov 29 | Moreton… v Marconi… | 1-0 |
| Nov 22 | Moreton… v Avondale | 1-3 |
| Nov 14 | Moreton… v Melbour… | 3-3 |
| Nov 08 | Moreton… v Sydney … | 3-3 |
| Nov 02 | Moreton… v Broadme… | 5-1 |
| Oct 26 | Moreton… v Sydney … | 1-2 |
Eastern Suburbs
8.0%
| Mar 20 | Eastern… v Gold Co… | 1-2 |
| Mar 14 | Eastern… v Lions | 0-3 |
| Mar 07 | Eastern… v Brisban… | 0-4 |
| Mar 01 | Eastern… v Brisban… | 3-2 |
| Feb 21 | Eastern… v Peninsu… | 1-0 |
| Sep 06 | Eastern… v Moreton… | 4-1 |
| Aug 23 | Eastern… v Lions | 0-1 |
| Aug 19 | Eastern… v SC Wand… | 1-5 |
| Aug 15 | Eastern… v Gold Co… | 4-1 |
| Aug 09 | Eastern… v Gold Co… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 06, 2025 | Moreton City … | 4-1 | Eastern Subur… |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
72%
Standings
38%
Market
50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Moreton City Excelsior in strong form (3W in last 5)
Eastern Suburbs struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.