Division Profesional - Apertura · Mar 23, 2026 21:30
Sportivo Trinidense
PWR 46
Deportivo Recoleta
PWR 46
Sportivo Trinidense
PWR 46
2-1
predicted
Deportivo Recoleta
PWR 46
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Sportivo Trinidense to win (58% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (18%)1-0 (17%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (7%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
24%
Under 2.5
76%
76%
BTTS
No
No 32%
Over 3.5
14%
Team Comparison
45Attack42
59Defense60
Goals/G
1.31.2
Conc/G
1.21.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sportivo Trini…
DLDLL
STABLE
Deportivo Reco…
LLDDL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 2% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Sportivo Trini…vs
0.79
Deportivo Reco…Goal Probability
Sportivo Tr…
0
41%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Deportivo R…
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 2.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Sportivo Tr…+1
Gap#10
Deportivo R…
WR 31% 46 pts
WR 33% 21 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Trin… | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 45 | 41 | 46 |
| Deportivo Rec… | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 21 |
Sportivo Trini…
4.0%
| Mar 19 | Sportiv… v Sportiv… | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | Sportiv… v Cerro P… | 2-1 |
| Mar 09 | Sportiv… v Naciona… | 1-1 |
| Mar 05 | Sportiv… v Olimpia | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Sportiv… v 2 de Ma… | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Sportiv… v Sportiv… | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | Sportiv… v Club Sp… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Sportiv… v Liberta… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Sportiv… v Rubio Ñu | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | Sportiv… v Olimpia | 3-2 |
Deportivo Reco…
4.0%
| Mar 18 | Deporti… v Club Gu… | 3-1 |
| Mar 14 | Deporti… v Olimpia | 0-1 |
| Mar 09 | Deporti… v Sportiv… | 1-1 |
| Mar 05 | Deporti… v Naciona… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Deporti… v Cerro P… | 2-0 |
| Feb 26 | Deporti… v Naciona… | 2-2 |
| Feb 20 | Deporti… v 2 de Ma… | 0-1 |
| Feb 13 | Deporti… v Sportiv… | 1-2 |
| Feb 06 | Deporti… v Club Sp… | 0-3 |
| Feb 02 | Deporti… v Liberta… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jan 23, 2026 | Deportivo Rec… | 1-1 | Sportivo Trin… |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Sportivo Trinidense struggling (3L in last 5)
Deportivo Recoleta struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.