Liga de Ascenso · Mar 29, 2026 20:00
AD Carmelita
PWR 35
Aserri FC
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
AD Carmelita
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (25%)2-0 (22%)0-0 (15%)3-0 (12%)1-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5
71%
71%
BTTS
No
No 15%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Aserri FC
DLWDL
STABLE
AD Carmelita
LDLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: Liga de Ascenso
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Aserri FCvs
0.20
AD CarmelitaGoal Probability
Aserri FC
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
AD Carmelita
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)2-0 (13%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 73% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Aserri FC+1
Gap#7
AD Carmelita
WR 40% 12 pts
WR 0% 9 pts
Aserri FC
8.0%
| Mar 19 | Aserri … v Cariari… | 2-2 |
| Mar 13 | Aserri … v Futbol … | 6-2 |
| Mar 10 | Aserri … v CS Urug… | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Aserri … v Pitbull… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Aserri … v Escorpi… | 0-2 |
| Feb 19 | Aserri … v Pitbull… | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Aserri … v AD Carm… | 2-2 |
| Feb 13 | Aserri … v Santa A… | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Aserri … v Futbol … | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | Aserri … v CS Urug… | 2-2 |
AD Carmelita
6.0%
| Mar 21 | AD Carm… v CS Urug… | 3-0 |
| Mar 16 | AD Carm… v Pitbull… | 0-0 |
| Mar 12 | AD Carm… v Cariari… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | AD Carm… v Escorpi… | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | AD Carm… v Santa A… | 1-2 |
| Feb 19 | AD Carm… v Futbol … | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | AD Carm… v Aserri … | 2-2 |
| Feb 07 | AD Carm… v CS Urug… | 0-1 |
| Feb 06 | AD Carm… v Deporti… | 6-0 |
| Feb 02 | AD Carm… v Pitbull… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Feb 15, 2026 | AD Carmelita | 2-2 | Aserri FC |
| Nov 02, 2025 | AD Carmelita | 1-1 | Aserri FC |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Aserri FC | 1-0 | AD Carmelita |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
64%
Market
50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
AD Carmelita struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.