Segunda DivisiĂłn · Mar 29, 2026 19:00
AlmerĂa
PWR 35
Real Sociedad
PWR 35
AlmerĂa
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Real Sociedad
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: AlmerĂa to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (7%)2-1 (7%)3-2 (5%)3-0 (5%)2-2 (5%)2-0 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
73%
73%
Under 2.5
27%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 74%
Over 3.5
53%
Team Comparison
0Attack41
100Defense59
Goals/G
0.01.4
Conc/G
0.01.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
AlmerĂa
DLWDW
STABLE
Real Sociedad
LLWWL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
3.29
AlmerĂavs
1.46
Real SociedadGoal Probability
AlmerĂa
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Real Socied…
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-2 (6%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 4.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
League Position
#21
AlmerĂa+2
Gap#23
Real Socied…
WR 50% 55 pts
WR 34% 52 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AlmerĂa | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 44 | 55 |
| Real Sociedad | 41 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 52 | 54 | 52 |
AlmerĂa
12.0%
| Mar 20 | AlmerĂa v Huesca | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | AlmerĂa v Zaragoza | 2-0 |
| Mar 09 | AlmerĂa v Cultura… | 3-0 |
| Feb 27 | AlmerĂa v Albacete | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | AlmerĂa v Cordoba | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | AlmerĂa v FC Ando… | 3-2 |
| Feb 08 | AlmerĂa v Cadiz | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | AlmerĂa v AD Ceut… | 4-2 |
| Jan 25 | AlmerĂa v Eibar | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | AlmerĂa v Deporti… | 1-2 |
Real Sociedad
8.0%
| Mar 22 | Real So… v Granada | 0-2 |
| Mar 20 | Real So… v Villarr… | 3-1 |
| Mar 15 | Real So… v Cordoba | 0-2 |
| Mar 15 | Real So… v Osasuna | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | Real So… v Atlétic… | 3-2 |
| Mar 07 | Real So… v Castell… | 4-2 |
| Mar 04 | Real So… v Athleti… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Real So… v Deporti… | 2-3 |
| Feb 28 | Real So… v Mallorca | 0-1 |
| Feb 23 | Real So… v Cadiz | 0-2 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
91%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Real Sociedad struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.