Segunda División · Mar 28, 2026 15:15
Valladolid
PWR 34
Burgos
PWR 37
Valladolid
PWR 34
1-2
predicted
Burgos
PWR 37
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Burgos Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (34%)1-0 (29%)2-0 (12%)0-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)3-0 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
9%
Under 2.5
91%
91%
BTTS
No
No 12%
Over 3.5
25%
Team Comparison
31Attack35
66Defense70
Goals/G
1.01.2
Conc/G
1.11.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Valladolid
LWDWD
STABLE
Burgos
WDWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy56%
HOME_LEAKINGAWAY_POSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.7%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Valladolidvs
0.23
BurgosGoal Probability
Valladolid
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Burgos
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (13%)1-1 (11%)0-2 (11%)1-2 (10%)0-0 (8%)1-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#18
Valladolid-12
Gap#6
Burgos
WR 33% 36 pts
WR 40% 50 pts
Valladolid
12.0%
| Mar 22 | Vallado… v Mirandes | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Vallado… v Levante | 3-2 |
| Mar 07 | Vallado… v Malaga | 3-3 |
| Feb 28 | Vallado… v Huesca | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Vallado… v Sportin… | 2-2 |
| Feb 14 | Vallado… v Granada | 5-1 |
| Feb 08 | Vallado… v Castell… | 0-4 |
| Jan 31 | Vallado… v Cordoba | 3-1 |
| Jan 24 | Vallado… v Albacete | 0-1 |
| Jan 17 | Vallado… v AD Ceut… | 0-3 |
Burgos
14.0%
| Mar 22 | Burgos v Cordoba | 4-0 |
| Mar 15 | Burgos v Eibar | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Burgos v Mirandes | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Burgos v Zaragoza | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Burgos v Santand… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Burgos v Cadiz | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Burgos v Las Pal… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Burgos v Levante | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Burgos v Malaga | 3-0 |
| Jan 18 | Burgos v Huesca | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 12, 2025 | Burgos | 0-1 | Valladolid |
| Aug 09, 2025 | Burgos | 2-2 | Valladolid |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Burgos | 1-0 | Valladolid |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Burgos in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.