NPFL · Mar 29, 2026 15:00
Nasarawa United
PWR 35
Karvan
PWR 43
PWR 43
1-1
predicted
Nasarawa United
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (19%)3-0 (15%)1-0 (15%)2-1 (6%)0-0 (6%)3-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
No
No 26%
Over 3.5
6%
Team Comparison
30Attack0
68Defense100
Goals/G
0.90.0
Conc/G
0.90.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Karvan
LDLWD
STABLE
Nasarawa United
LWLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): NPFL
Expected Goals (xG)
2.48
Karvanvs
0.33
Nasarawa UnitedGoal Probability
Karvan
0
8%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Nasarawa Un…
0
72%
1
24%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (23%)1-0 (19%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 2.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Karvan-5
Gap#6
Nasarawa Un…
WR 30% 107 pts
WR 40% 118 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karvan | 87 | 26 | 29 | 32 | 74 | 80 | 107 |
| Nasarawa Unit… | 80 | 32 | 22 | 26 | 80 | 75 | 118 |
Karvan
8.0%
| Mar 19 | Karvan v Zira | 0-1 |
| Mar 15 | Karvan v Enugu R… | 0-0 |
| Mar 13 | Karvan v Araz | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Karvan v Katsina… | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Karvan v Sumqayıt | 1-1 |
| Mar 05 | Karvan v Plzen | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Karvan v Wikki T… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Karvan v Qabala | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Karvan v Abia Wa… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Karvan v Araz | 0-2 |
Nasarawa United
8.0%
| Mar 15 | Nasaraw… v Remo St… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Nasaraw… v Ikorodu… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Nasaraw… v Enugu R… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Nasaraw… v Bendel … | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Nasaraw… v Katsina… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Nasaraw… v Bayelsa… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Nasaraw… v Wikki T… | 1-1 |
| Jan 28 | Nasaraw… v Enyimba | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Nasaraw… v Abia Wa… | 1-2 |
| Jan 18 | Nasaraw… v Niger T… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Nov 09, 2025 | Nasarawa Unit… | 1-1 | Karvan |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Karvan | 1-0 | Nasarawa Unit… |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Nasarawa Unit… | 0-1 | Karvan |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Nasarawa United struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.