J2 League · Mar 29, 2026 05:00
Kitakyushu
PWR 35
FC Ryukyu
PWR 35
Kitakyushu
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
FC Ryukyu
PWR 35
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (7%)2-1 (5%)3-2 (5%)3-0 (4%)2-2 (4%)2-0 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
71%
71%
Under 2.5
29%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 77%
Over 3.5
21%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Kitakyushu
DLLLL
STABLE
FC Ryukyu
WDDLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.79
Kitakyushuvs
1.56
FC RyukyuGoal Probability
Kitakyushu
0
2%
1
9%
2
16%
3
21%
4
19%
FC Ryukyu
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (9%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 69% | 32% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 3.5 | 22% | 79% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Kitakyushu-2
Gap#8
FC Ryukyu
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 4 pts
Kitakyushu
2.0%
| Mar 22 | Kitakyu… v Renofa … | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Kitakyu… v Sagan T… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Kitakyu… v Tegevaj… | 2-3 |
| Feb 28 | Kitakyu… v Biwako … | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Kitakyu… v Roasso … | 4-1 |
| Feb 15 | Kitakyu… v Oita Tr… | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Kitakyu… v Gainare… | 1-3 |
| Nov 02 | Kitakyu… v Vanraur… | 0-0 |
| Oct 25 | Kitakyu… v FC Ryuk… | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | Kitakyu… v Kamatam… | 1-4 |
FC Ryukyu
10.0%
| Mar 21 | FC Ryuk… v Oita Tr… | 1-2 |
| Mar 14 | FC Ryuk… v Renofa … | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | FC Ryuk… v Gainare… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | FC Ryuk… v Tegevaj… | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | FC Ryuk… v Biwako … | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | FC Ryuk… v Kashima | 3-1 |
| Feb 08 | FC Ryuk… v Sagan T… | 2-2 |
| Oct 25 | FC Ryuk… v Kitakyu… | 2-1 |
| Oct 18 | FC Ryuk… v Kochi U… | 2-1 |
| Oct 10 | FC Ryuk… v Osaka | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 25, 2025 | Kitakyushu | 2-1 | FC Ryukyu |
| May 17, 2025 | FC Ryukyu | 0-1 | Kitakyushu |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Kitakyushu struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.