Liga Nacional · Mar 25, 2026 01:30
Atlético Choloma
PWR 24
PWR 24
2-1
predicted
Génesis
PWR 38
PWR 38
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Atlético Choloma to win (58% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (11%)1-2 (10%)0-2 (9%)1-0 (7%)0-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
Yes 52%
Over 3.5
17%
Team Comparison
34Attack37
21Defense52
Goals/G
1.01.1
Conc/G
2.31.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Atlético Cholo…
WDDLL
STABLE
Génesis
LLDWL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Atlético Cholo…vs
1.61
GénesisGoal Probability
Atlético Ch…
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Génesis
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (12%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 2.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 3.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Atlético Ch…-4
Gap#7
Génesis
WR 16% 22 pts
WR 24% 92 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Chol… | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 72 | 22 |
| Génesis | 85 | 20 | 32 | 33 | 91 | 117 | 92 |
Atlético Cholo…
8.0%
| Mar 19 | Atlétic… v Lobos U… | 1-2 |
| Mar 15 | Atlétic… v Jutical… | 1-1 |
| Mar 11 | Atlétic… v CD Mara… | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Atlétic… v CD Mota… | 1-3 |
| Feb 26 | Atlétic… v CD Olim… | 3-0 |
| Feb 22 | Atlétic… v Victoria | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Atlétic… v Real Es… | 2-1 |
| Feb 11 | Atlétic… v Olancho | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Atlétic… v Platens… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Atlétic… v Génesis | 0-0 |
Génesis
6.0%
| Mar 19 | Génesis v Real Es… | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | Génesis v CD Olim… | 0-2 |
| Mar 11 | Génesis v Olancho | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Génesis v Victoria | 2-4 |
| Mar 02 | Génesis v Lobos U… | 0-2 |
| Feb 27 | Génesis v CD Mara… | 1-2 |
| Feb 15 | Génesis v Platens… | 2-2 |
| Feb 11 | Génesis v CD Mota… | 0-5 |
| Feb 07 | Génesis v Jutical… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Génesis v Atlétic… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Feb 01, 2026 | Génesis | 0-0 | Atlético Chol… |
| Nov 02, 2025 | Génesis | 1-0 | Atlético Chol… |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Atlético Chol… | 2-1 | Génesis |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
43%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Génesis struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.