Primera A · Mar 29, 2026 23:20
Deportivo Pasto
PWR 35
Atlético Nacional
PWR 35
Deportivo Pasto
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Atlético Nacional
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Deportivo Pasto to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (14%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)3-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS
No 45%
Over 3.5
43%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Deportivo Pasto
WLWLW
STABLE
Atlético Nacio…
WLWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Primera A
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Deportivo Pastovs
0.79
Atlético Nacio…Goal Probability
Deportivo P…
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Atlético Na…
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (10%)1-1 (9%)0-2 (8%)0-1 (8%)1-3 (7%)0-3 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 85% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% | - |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Deportivo P…-1
Gap#1
Atlético Na…
WR 71% 24 pts
WR 50% 27 pts
Deportivo Pasto
12.0%
| Mar 18 | Deporti… v Chico | 2-0 |
| Mar 15 | Deporti… v Rionegr… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Deporti… v Cúcuta … | 0-2 |
| Mar 13 | Deporti… v Once Ca… | 4-2 |
| Mar 10 | Deporti… v America… | 2-0 |
| Mar 10 | Deporti… v Bucaram… | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Deporti… v Once Ca… | 0-2 |
| Mar 01 | Deporti… v Fortale… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Deporti… v Cúcuta … | 3-2 |
| Feb 27 | Deporti… v Millona… | 5-1 |
Atlético Nacio…
16.0%
| Mar 22 | Atlétic… v La Equi… | 3-0 |
| Mar 18 | Atlétic… v Millona… | 3-0 |
| Mar 14 | Atlétic… v Llaneros | 2-0 |
| Mar 11 | Atlétic… v Junior | 0-4 |
| Mar 07 | Atlétic… v Rionegr… | 1-2 |
| Mar 05 | Atlétic… v Millona… | 1-3 |
| Mar 02 | Atlétic… v Deporte… | 1-0 |
| Feb 26 | Atlétic… v Santa Fe | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Atlétic… v Alianza… | 3-0 |
| Feb 15 | Atlétic… v Deporti… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Feb 15, 2026 | Deportivo Pas… | 1-0 | Atlético Naci… |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Deportivo Pas… | 2-2 | Atlético Naci… |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Atlético Naci… | 2-1 | Deportivo Pas… |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Deportivo Pas… | 2-1 | Atlético Naci… |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Atlético Naci… | 3-0 | Deportivo Pas… |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Deportivo Pas… | 1-0 | Atlético Naci… |
| Dec 05, 2024 | Atlético Naci… | 2-1 | Deportivo Pas… |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Deportivo Pas… | 0-1 | Atlético Naci… |
| Nov 08, 2024 | Deportivo Pas… | 1-1 | Atlético Naci… |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Deportivo Pasto in strong form (3W in last 5)
Atlético Nacional in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.