Super League · Mar 29, 2026 12:00
3K
PWR 35
4-1
predicted

Nzoia Sugar FC
PWR 35
53% 23% 24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
3K Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)2-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
Yes 51%
Over 3.5
7%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
3K DWWWW
STABLE
Nzoia Sugar FC WDDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Both teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskAway draws 55% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 73% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
3K
vs
1.13
Nzoia Sugar FC
Goal Probability
3K
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Nzoia Sugar…
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (23%)0-0 (22%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (11%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 78% 22% OVER
1.5 45% 55% -
2.5 19% 81% UNDER
3.5 7% 93% UNDER
4.5 2% 98% UNDER
5.5 1% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#4
3K
+7
Gap
#11
Nzoia Sugar…
WR 73% 37 pts WR 27% 29 pts
3K 18.0%
Mar 22 3K v Darajan… 0-0
Mar 15 3K v MOFA 1-0
Mar 01 3K v Soy Uni… 2-1
Feb 21 3K v Kisumu … 0-2
Feb 15 3K v Luanda … 5-0
Jan 31 3K v MOFA 1-0
Jan 25 3K v Nairobi… 1-1
Jan 18 3K v Fortune… 1-0
Jan 11 3K v Naivas 1-2
Dec 21 3K v Kabati … 0-2
Nzoia Sugar FC 14.0%
Mar 21 Nzoia S… v Mathare… 2-1
Mar 14 Nzoia S… v Equity … 0-0
Mar 08 Nzoia S… v Kisumu … 0-0
Mar 01 Nzoia S… v Nairobi… 0-0
Feb 20 Nzoia S… v Vihiga … 0-4
Feb 15 Nzoia S… v Gucha S… 0-2
Jan 31 Nzoia S… v Equity … 1-0
Jan 25 Nzoia S… v MOFA 1-1
Jan 18 Nzoia S… v Soy Uni… 0-2
Jan 12 Nzoia S… v Darajan… 1-4
Head-to-Head (1)
Sep 28, 2025 Nzoia Sugar FC 2-1 3K
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
74%
Market
50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
3K in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.