Super League · Mar 29, 2026 12:00

Nzoia Sugar FC
PWR 35
3K
PWR 35
PWR 35
4-1
predicted

Nzoia Sugar FC
PWR 35
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
3K Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)2-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
Yes 51%
Over 3.5
7%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
3K
DWWWW
STABLE
Nzoia Sugar FC
WDDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Both teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskAway draws 55% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 73% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
3Kvs
1.13
Nzoia Sugar FCGoal Probability
3K
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Nzoia Sugar…
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (23%)0-0 (22%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (11%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 2.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
3K+7
Gap#11
Nzoia Sugar…
WR 73% 37 pts
WR 27% 29 pts
3K
18.0%
| Mar 22 | 3K v Darajan… | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | 3K v MOFA | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | 3K v Soy Uni… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | 3K v Kisumu … | 0-2 |
| Feb 15 | 3K v Luanda … | 5-0 |
| Jan 31 | 3K v MOFA | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | 3K v Nairobi… | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | 3K v Fortune… | 1-0 |
| Jan 11 | 3K v Naivas | 1-2 |
| Dec 21 | 3K v Kabati … | 0-2 |
Nzoia Sugar FC
14.0%
| Mar 21 | Nzoia S… v Mathare… | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Nzoia S… v Equity … | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Nzoia S… v Kisumu … | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Nzoia S… v Nairobi… | 0-0 |
| Feb 20 | Nzoia S… v Vihiga … | 0-4 |
| Feb 15 | Nzoia S… v Gucha S… | 0-2 |
| Jan 31 | Nzoia S… v Equity … | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Nzoia S… v MOFA | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | Nzoia S… v Soy Uni… | 0-2 |
| Jan 12 | Nzoia S… v Darajan… | 1-4 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 28, 2025 | Nzoia Sugar FC | 2-1 | 3K |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
74%
Market
50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
3K in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.