Liga Premier Serie A · Mar 29, 2026 18:00
Correcaminos UAT II
PWR 35
Chilpancingo
PWR 35
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Correcaminos UAT II
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Chilpancingo Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (16%)1-0 (13%)3-0 (12%)2-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)3-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
BTTS
No 37%
Over 3.5
26%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Chilpancingo
DDWWD
STABLE
Correcaminos U…
DLLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (29.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
Chilpancingovs
0.52
Correcaminos U…Goal Probability
Chilpancingo
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Correcamino…
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (8%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 73% | 28% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 3.5 | 26% | 75% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Chilpancingo-1
Gap#8
Correcamino…
WR 42% 29 pts
WR 17% 33 pts
Chilpancingo
14.0%
| Mar 22 | Chilpan… v Calor d… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Chilpan… v Zitacua… | 1-1 |
| Mar 06 | Chilpan… v Atletic… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Chilpan… v Cordobés | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Chilpan… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Chilpan… v Lobos U… | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Chilpan… v Real Ap… | 4-2 |
| Feb 01 | Chilpan… v Gavilan… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Chilpan… v FC Sant… | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | Chilpan… v Zacatep… | 1-1 |
Correcaminos U…
6.0%
| Mar 21 | Correca… v FC Sant… | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | Correca… v Zacatep… | 3-2 |
| Mar 07 | Correca… v Sportin… | 2-4 |
| Feb 28 | Correca… v Ciervos | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Correca… v Gavilan… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Correca… v Calor d… | 0-1 |
| Feb 07 | Correca… v Zitacua… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Correca… v Atletic… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Correca… v Cordobés | 2-0 |
| Jan 17 | Correca… v Deporti… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 14, 2025 | Correcaminos … | 0-0 | Chilpancingo |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
92%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Correcaminos UAT II struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.