Primera C · Mar 28, 2026 21:00
Canuelas
PWR 43
Yupanqui
PWR 36
Canuelas
PWR 43
1-0
predicted
Yupanqui
PWR 36
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Canuelas to win (60% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
60%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (6%)3-0 (6%)1-1 (6%)2-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
72%
72%
Under 2.5
28%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 69%
Over 3.5
26%
Team Comparison
33Attack31
67Defense49
Goals/G
0.90.9
Conc/G
0.91.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Canuelas
LDDWD
STABLE
Yupanqui
DLWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 2% = 35.1% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.88
Canuelasvs
1.33
YupanquiGoal Probability
Canuelas
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Yupanqui
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)0-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 73% | 28% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 3.5 | 26% | 75% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#22
Canuelas-2
Gap#20
Yupanqui
WR 27% 41 pts
WR 25% 43 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canuelas | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 32 | 32 | 41 |
| Yupanqui | 44 | 11 | 10 | 23 | 39 | 64 | 43 |
Canuelas
10.0%
| Mar 21 | Canuelas v Leandro… | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Canuelas v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Mar 03 | Canuelas v Tallere… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Canuelas v Claypole | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | Canuelas v Claypole | 1-1 |
| Oct 11 | Canuelas v Claypole | 1-2 |
| Oct 04 | Canuelas v Lujan | 3-1 |
| Sep 27 | Canuelas v Lujan | 0-2 |
| Sep 15 | Canuelas v Argenti… | 4-0 |
| Sep 09 | Canuelas v Deporti… | 4-1 |
Yupanqui
6.0%
| Mar 16 | Yupanqui v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Yupanqui v Sportiv… | 0-2 |
| Feb 23 | Yupanqui v Deporti… | 1-2 |
| Oct 18 | Yupanqui v Centro … | 4-2 |
| Oct 11 | Yupanqui v Centro … | 0-1 |
| Oct 04 | Yupanqui v Deporti… | 1-4 |
| Sep 28 | Yupanqui v Deporti… | 2-1 |
| Sep 15 | Yupanqui v Central… | 0-1 |
| Sep 09 | Yupanqui v Victori… | 2-0 |
| Aug 30 | Yupanqui v Canuelas | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 30, 2025 | Canuelas | 0-0 | Yupanqui |
| May 20, 2025 | Yupanqui | 1-1 | Canuelas |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Yupanqui struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.