Primera C · Mar 28, 2026 21:00

Lujan
PWR 50

Claypole
PWR 50

Lujan
PWR 50
1-0
predicted

Claypole
PWR 50
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Lujan to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (29%)0-0 (27%)2-0 (16%)1-1 (6%)0-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
14%
Under 2.5
86%
86%
BTTS
No
No 13%
Over 3.5
2%
Team Comparison
39Attack41
68Defense70
Goals/G
1.11.2
Conc/G
0.90.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Lujan
DDDDW
STABLE
Claypole
WLDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 4% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 4/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Lujanvs
0.22
ClaypoleGoal Probability
Lujan
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Claypole
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (37%)1-0 (24%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (3%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 1.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Lujan+3
Gap#4
Claypole
WR 42% 139 pts
WR 38% 83 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lujan | 88 | 37 | 28 | 23 | 97 | 80 | 139 |
| Claypole | 56 | 21 | 20 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 83 |
Lujan
12.0%
| Mar 22 | Lujan v Estrell… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Lujan v El Porv… | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | Lujan v Juventu… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Lujan v Fénix | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Lujan v JJ Urqu… | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Lujan v Sacachi… | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Lujan v Sportiv… | 0-1 |
| Oct 18 | Lujan v Sportiv… | 1-1 |
| Oct 13 | Lujan v Sportiv… | 0-0 |
| Oct 04 | Lujan v Canuelas | 3-1 |
Claypole
6.0%
| Mar 21 | Claypole v Juventu… | 0-1 |
| Mar 14 | Claypole v Leones … | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Claypole v Atlétic… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Claypole v Canuelas | 2-1 |
| Feb 17 | Claypole v Tigre | 2-0 |
| Dec 06 | Claypole v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| Nov 30 | Claypole v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| Nov 23 | Claypole v Centro … | 3-1 |
| Nov 15 | Claypole v Centro … | 1-1 |
| Oct 19 | Claypole v Canuelas | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jun 29, 2025 | Lujan | 0-0 | Claypole |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Claypole | 1-2 | Lujan |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Claypole | 0-1 | Lujan |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Claypole struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.