Primera Nacional · Mar 29, 2026 19:00
Patronato
PWR 35
Unión Santa Fe
PWR 39
Patronato
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Unión Santa Fe
PWR 39
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Under 2.5
Goals · Low scoring expected: 1.7 total goals avg
80%
accuracy
1.7x
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Patronato to win (84% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
84%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (17%)0-0 (12%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
66%
BTTS
No 37%
Over 3.5
6%
Team Comparison
0Attack23
100Defense66
Goals/G
0.00.7
Conc/G
0.01.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Patronato
DLDLD
STABLE
Unión Santa Fe
DLDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: Primera Nacional
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Patronatovs
0.69
Unión Santa FeGoal Probability
Patronato
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Unión Santa…
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (23%)0-1 (21%)1-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 2.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#21
Patronato+4
Gap#25
Unión Santa…
WR 32% 58 pts
WR 27% 48 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patronato | 44 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 37 | 39 | 58 |
| Unión Santa Fe | 44 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 29 | 43 | 48 |
Patronato
6.0%
| Mar 22 | Patrona… v Colegia… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Patrona… v Quilmes | 3-0 |
| Mar 03 | Patrona… v Atlanta | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Patrona… v Gimnasi… | 1-2 |
| Feb 15 | Patrona… v San Mar… | 0-0 |
| Oct 12 | Patrona… v Estudia… | 2-1 |
| Oct 04 | Patrona… v Ferro C… | 3-1 |
| Sep 28 | Patrona… v Almagro | 0-0 |
| Sep 20 | Patrona… v San Mig… | 0-0 |
| Sep 14 | Patrona… v Quilmes | 1-0 |
Unión Santa Fe
10.0%
| Mar 22 | Unión S… v San Tel… | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | Unión S… v Defensa… | 2-0 |
| Mar 16 | Unión S… v Boca Ju… | 1-1 |
| Mar 14 | Unión S… v Acassuso | 1-0 |
| Mar 10 | Unión S… v Indepen… | 4-4 |
| Mar 01 | Unión S… v Institu… | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Unión S… v Ferro C… | 1-1 |
| Feb 26 | Unión S… v Sarmien… | 1-3 |
| Feb 23 | Unión S… v Aldosivi | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Unión S… v Central… | 0-0 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
70%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.