USL Championship · Mar 29, 2026 02:30
Las Vegas Lights
PWR 33
Monterey Bay
PWR 36
Las Vegas Lights
PWR 33
2-1
predicted
Monterey Bay
PWR 36
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Las Vegas Lights Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)1-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
64%
64%
Under 2.5
36%
BTTS
Yes 56%
Over 3.5
16%
Team Comparison
37Attack30
39Defense50
Goals/G
1.00.9
Conc/G
1.71.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Las Vegas Ligh…
LLDLD
DOWN
Monterey Bay
DDLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 4% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.67
Las Vegas Ligh…vs
0.92
Monterey BayGoal Probability
Las Vegas L…
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
Monterey Bay
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (12%)0-1 (10%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 2.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 3.5 | 17% | 84% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#18
Las Vegas L…+6
Gap#24
Monterey Bay
WR 22% 39 pts
WR 26% 27 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Lig… | 41 | 9 | 12 | 20 | 43 | 71 | 39 |
| Monterey Bay | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 33 | 27 |
Las Vegas Ligh…
4.0%
| Mar 22 | Las Veg… v FC Tulsa | 3-2 |
| Mar 14 | Las Veg… v Colorad… | 3-2 |
| Mar 08 | Las Veg… v Orange … | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Las Veg… v York 9 … | 1-0 |
| Oct 26 | Las Veg… v Montere… | 1-1 |
| Oct 19 | Las Veg… v Colorad… | 1-0 |
| Oct 12 | Las Veg… v Oakland… | 2-2 |
| Oct 05 | Las Veg… v Rhode I… | 3-1 |
| Sep 28 | Las Veg… v Pittsbu… | 1-0 |
| Sep 20 | Las Veg… v Louisvi… | 3-1 |
Monterey Bay
6.0%
| Mar 22 | Montere… v Sacrame… | 1-1 |
| Mar 15 | Montere… v El Paso… | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Montere… v Oakland… | 0-1 |
| Oct 26 | Montere… v Las Veg… | 1-1 |
| Oct 19 | Montere… v Pittsbu… | 0-3 |
| Oct 04 | Montere… v Tampa B… | 4-0 |
| Sep 28 | Montere… v Sacrame… | 1-0 |
| Sep 21 | Montere… v New Mex… | 1-1 |
| Aug 31 | Montere… v Oakland… | 1-0 |
| Aug 17 | Montere… v El Paso… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 26, 2025 | Monterey Bay | 1-1 | Las Vegas Lig… |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
90%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Las Vegas Lights struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.