USL Championship · Mar 22, 2026 02:00

Phoenix Rising
PWR 48
2 - 2
FT

Oakland Roots
PWR 41
33% 27% 40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Phoenix Rising to win (83% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
83%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (7%)3-2 (5%)2-1 (5%)2-2 (4%)3-0 (4%)2-0 (3%)
WRONG 2-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5 72%
72%
Under 2.5
28%
BTTS Yes
Yes 79%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
49Attack48
56Defense40
Goals/G
1.41.4
Conc/G
1.31.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Phoenix Rising DLLWD
STABLE
Oakland Roots WWWDD
UP
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 5% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
3.74
Phoenix Rising
vs
1.67
Oakland Roots
Goal Probability
Phoenix Ris…
0
2%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Oakland Roo…
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)0-1 (8%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 93% 7% OVER
1.5 75% 25% OVER
2.5 50% 50% -
3.5 28% 72% UNDER
4.5 14% 86% UNDER
5.5 6% 94% UNDER
6.5 2% 98% UNDER
League Position
#3
Phoenix Ris…
+7
Gap
#10
Oakland Roo…
WR 37% 70 pts WR 32% 55 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Phoenix Rising49181615686270
Oakland Roots47151022658055
Phoenix Rising 8.0%
Mar 15 Phoenix… v Orange … 0-0
Mar 08 Phoenix… v San Ant… 2-1
Nov 09 Phoenix… v FC UFA 1-0
Nov 02 Phoenix… v El Paso… 0-1
Oct 25 Phoenix… v Pittsbu… 0-0
Oct 19 Phoenix… v San Ant… 1-0
Oct 10 Phoenix… v North C… 0-2
Oct 05 Phoenix… v New Mex… 0-1
Sep 28 Phoenix… v Oakland… 3-3
Sep 21 Phoenix… v Loudoun… 2-2
Oakland Roots 16.0%
Mar 15 Oakland… v New Mex… 1-0
Mar 08 Oakland… v Montere… 0-1
Oct 26 Oakland… v Lexingt… 3-0
Oct 19 Oakland… v New Mex… 3-3
Oct 12 Oakland… v Las Veg… 2-2
Oct 08 Oakland… v Alloa A… 1-3
Oct 01 Oakland… v El Paso… 3-1
Sep 28 Oakland… v Phoenix… 3-3
Sep 21 Oakland… v FC UFA 1-1
Sep 13 Oakland… v Charles… 3-3
Head-to-Head (3)
Sep 28, 2025 Phoenix Rising 3-3 Oakland Roots
Jul 13, 2025 Oakland Roots 1-2 Phoenix Rising
Oct 13, 2024 Oakland Roots 0-1 Phoenix Rising
Decision Breakdown
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Oakland Roots in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.