Paulista - A2 · Mar 28, 2026 18:00
Água Santa
PWR 35
Ituano
PWR 35
Água Santa
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Ituano
PWR 35
63%
21%
16%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Água Santa to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (12%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
No 39%
Over 3.5
18%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Água Santa
DDWWW
STABLE
Ituano
DLDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista - A2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.21
Água Santavs
0.52
ItuanoGoal Probability
Água Santa
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Ituano
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (16%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (12%)0-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 2.5 | 38% | 63% | - |
| 3.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Água Santa+2
Gap#4
Ituano
WR 88% 1 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
Água Santa
16.0%
| Mar 18 | Água Sa… v Votupor… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Água Sa… v XV de P… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Água Sa… v Oeste | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Água Sa… v Monte A… | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Água Sa… v Grêmio … | 4-3 |
| Feb 21 | Água Sa… v Taubaté | 2-3 |
| Feb 18 | Água Sa… v Ituano | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Água Sa… v São Jos… | 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | Água Sa… v Ferrovi… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Água Sa… v Juventu… | 2-1 |
Ituano
4.0%
| Mar 18 | Ituano v XV de P… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Ituano v Votupor… | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Ituano v Monte A… | 3-3 |
| Mar 01 | Ituano v Oeste | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | Ituano v São Jos… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Ituano v Sertãoz… | 4-0 |
| Feb 18 | Ituano v Água Sa… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Ituano v XV de P… | 0-1 |
| Feb 11 | Ituano v Inter D… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Ituano v Santo A… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Feb 18, 2026 | Ituano | 0-1 | Água Santa |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Água Santa | 2-0 | Ituano |
| Feb 05, 2023 | Ituano | 0-3 | Água Santa |
| Mar 28, 2022 | Ituano | 2-2 | Água Santa |
| Feb 09, 2022 | Água Santa | 2-2 | Ituano |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
79%
Market
50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Água Santa in strong form (3W in last 5)
Ituano struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.