Primera Nacional · Mar 15, 2026 20:00
Gimnasia M.
PWR 35
Colegiales
PWR 35
Gimnasia M.
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Colegiales
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Gimnasia M. to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (12%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (5%)1-0 (5%)1-1 (2%)
WRONG 2-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
85%
Home/Draw
1.24x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.38x
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
No 40%
Over 3.5
8%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Gimnasia M.
DWDWD
STABLE
Colegiales
LWLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: Primera Nacional
Expected Goals (xG)
3.94
Gimnasia M.vs
0.53
ColegialesGoal Probability
Gimnasia M.
0
2%
1
8%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Colegiales
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (21%)0-1 (17%)1-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (7%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 47% | 54% | - |
| 2.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 93% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Gimnasia M.+15
Gap#16
Colegiales
WR 65% 63 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
Gimnasia M.
14.0%
| Mar 12 | Gimnasi… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Gimnasi… v Quilmes | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Gimnasi… v Boca Ju… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Gimnasi… v Almagro | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | Gimnasi… v Indepen… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Gimnasi… v Chacari… | 3-1 |
| Feb 21 | Gimnasi… v Gimnasi… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Gimnasi… v Patrona… | 1-2 |
| Feb 16 | Gimnasi… v Midland | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Gimnasi… v Tallere… | 2-1 |
Colegiales
12.0%
| Mar 01 | Colegia… v Midland | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Colegia… v Atlanta | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Colegia… v Gimnasi… | 2-1 |
| Oct 04 | Colegia… v Deporti… | 1-0 |
| Sep 28 | Colegia… v Deporti… | 1-2 |
| Sep 20 | Colegia… v Gimnasi… | 2-0 |
| Sep 14 | Colegia… v Tristan… | 2-2 |
| Sep 05 | Colegia… v San Mar… | 2-0 |
| Aug 31 | Colegia… v Club At… | 1-0 |
| Aug 24 | Colegia… v Patrona… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Feb 14, 2026 | Gimnasia M. | 2-1 | Colegiales |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Colegiales | 2-0 | Gimnasia M. |
| May 18, 2025 | Gimnasia M. | 4-0 | Colegiales |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
93%
Market
60%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Colegiales in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.