NWSL Women · Mar 28, 2026 23:00
North Carolina Courage Women
PWR 35
North Carolina Courage Women
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Bay FC
PWR 35
PWR 35
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (13%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS
No 46%
Over 3.5
42%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
North Carolina…
DWWWD
STABLE
Bay FC
LWLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
Youth league excluded: Women
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
North Carolina…vs
0.74
Bay FCGoal Probability
North Carol…
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
11%
Bay FC
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (13%)3-0 (11%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)4-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 65% | 36% | - |
| 3.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
North Carol…+4
Gap#9
Bay FC
WR 100% 4 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
North Carolina…
16.0%
| Mar 21 | North C… v NJ/NY G… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | North C… v Racing … | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | North C… v NJ/NY G… | 3-2 |
| Oct 18 | North C… v Bay FC | 1-4 |
| Oct 11 | North C… v Washing… | 1-1 |
| Oct 04 | North C… v Racing … | 1-3 |
| Sep 29 | North C… v OL Reign | 2-1 |
| Sep 20 | North C… v Orlando… | 0-1 |
| Sep 13 | North C… v Angel C… | 2-1 |
| Sep 06 | North C… v Utah Ro… | 1-1 |
Bay FC
6.0%
| Mar 22 | Bay FC v Angel C… | 1-3 |
| Mar 14 | Bay FC v Denver … | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Bay FC v Racing … | 1-0 |
| Oct 18 | Bay FC v North C… | 1-4 |
| Oct 11 | Bay FC v OL Reign | 1-1 |
| Oct 05 | Bay FC v Portlan… | 2-1 |
| Sep 28 | Bay FC v Utah Ro… | 0-2 |
| Sep 22 | Bay FC v NJ/NY G… | 1-1 |
| Sep 13 | Bay FC v Orlando… | 1-1 |
| Sep 07 | Bay FC v Kansas … | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 18, 2025 | Bay FC | 1-4 | North Carolin… |
| Apr 19, 2025 | North Carolin… | 0-1 | Bay FC |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Bay FC | 1-0 | North Carolin… |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
86%
Market
50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
North Carolina Courage Women in strong form (3W in last 5)
Bay FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.