Primera División - Apertura · Mar 30, 2026 21:00
Cerro Largo
PWR 35
Danubio
PWR 35
Cerro Largo
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Danubio
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Cerro Largo Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)2-0 (8%)0-1 (7%)1-2 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS
Yes 56%
Over 3.5
30%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Cerro Largo
WWLLL
STABLE
Danubio
DWDDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Cerro Largovs
1.15
DanubioGoal Probability
Cerro Largo
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Danubio
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (9%)1-2 (9%)1-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)0-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 77% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Cerro Largo-2
Gap#9
Danubio
WR 0% 6 pts
WR 33% 8 pts
Cerro Largo
8.0%
| Mar 20 | Cerro L… v Deporti… | 3-1 |
| Mar 15 | Cerro L… v Central… | 1-3 |
| Mar 09 | Cerro L… v Atletic… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Cerro L… v Peñarol… | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Cerro L… v Defenso… | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | Cerro L… v Wandere… | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Cerro L… v Juventud | 0-1 |
| Jan 21 | Cerro L… v Concepc… | 1-3 |
| Jan 17 | Cerro L… v Club Na… | 1-1 |
| Jan 14 | Cerro L… v Atletic… | 2-3 |
Danubio
10.0%
| Mar 21 | Danubio v Wandere… | 1-1 |
| Mar 16 | Danubio v Juventud | 4-1 |
| Mar 07 | Danubio v Peñarol… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Danubio v Progreso | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Danubio v Racing … | 4-0 |
| Feb 15 | Danubio v Boston … | 2-0 |
| Feb 09 | Danubio v Cerrito | 0-1 |
| Jan 12 | Danubio v Boston … | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Danubio v Plaza C… | 2-0 |
| Nov 02 | Danubio v Racing … | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 18, 2025 | Cerro Largo | 1-0 | Danubio |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Cerro Largo struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.