Primera DivisiĂłn - Apertura · Mar 29, 2026 22:30
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 35
Racing Club de Montevideo
PWR 35
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 35
3-2
predicted
Racing Club de Montevideo
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Peñarol Montevideo Win
Score
3-2
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (22%)0-0 (17%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (10%)0-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
26%
Under 2.5
74%
74%
BTTS
No
No 27%
Over 3.5
7%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Peñarol Montev…
WDDWW
STABLE
Racing Club de…
DWWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMHOME_STREAK
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (36.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Peñarol Montev…vs
0.47
Racing Club de…Goal Probability
Peñarol Mon…
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Racing Club…
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (22%)1-0 (20%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 2.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Peñarol Mon…-2
Gap#1
Racing Club…
WR 67% 13 pts
WR 67% 13 pts
Peñarol Montev…
16.0%
| Mar 21 | Peñarol… v Cerrito | 3-1 |
| Mar 21 | Peñarol… v Racing … | 0-0 |
| Mar 16 | Peñarol… v Atletic… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Peñarol… v Albion … | 0-1 |
| Mar 10 | Peñarol… v Boston … | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Peñarol… v Danubio | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Peñarol… v Club Na… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Peñarol… v Cerro L… | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | Peñarol… v Indepen… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Peñarol… v Deporti… | 2-1 |
Racing Club de…
14.0%
| Mar 21 | Racing … v Peñarol… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Racing … v Boston … | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Racing … v Cerrito | 1-0 |
| Mar 05 | Racing … v Boston … | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Racing … v Albion … | 1-3 |
| Feb 21 | Racing … v Danubio | 4-0 |
| Feb 14 | Racing … v Club Na… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Racing … v Deporti… | 2-4 |
| Jan 20 | Racing … v Peñarol… | 1-0 |
| Jan 15 | Racing … v Cerrito | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 21, 2026 | Racing Club d… | 0-0 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-0 | Racing Club d… |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-2 | Racing Club d… |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Racing Club d… | 1-4 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Mar 09, 2025 | Peñarol Monte… | 0-2 | Racing Club d… |
| Sep 30, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 0-0 | Racing Club d… |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-1 | Racing Club d… |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Racing Club d… | 1-2 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Dec 02, 2023 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-1 | Racing Club d… |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-3 | Racing Club d… |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Peñarol Montevideo in strong form (3W in last 5)
Racing Club de Montevideo in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.