Primera DivisiĂłn - Apertura · Mar 29, 2026 13:00
Progreso
PWR 35
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 35
Progreso
PWR 35
1-2
predicted
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 35
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Peñarol Montevideo Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
60%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (36%)0-1 (26%)1-0 (11%)0-2 (9%)1-1 (8%)1-2 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
8%
Under 2.5
92%
92%
BTTS
No
No 13%
Over 3.5
6%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Progreso
DWDDL
STABLE
Peñarol Montev…
WDDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy77%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_FORM_DOMINANTAWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (23.8%) - consider AH
Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Progresovs
0.71
Peñarol Montev…Goal Probability
Progreso
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Peñarol Mon…
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (25%)0-0 (23%)0-2 (13%)1-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 2.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
Progreso-10
Gap#3
Peñarol Mon…
WR 0% 5 pts
WR 67% 13 pts
Progreso
10.0%
| Mar 22 | Progreso v Boston … | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Progreso v Cerrito | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Progreso v Albion … | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Progreso v Danubio | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Progreso v Club Na… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Progreso v Deporti… | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Progreso v Central… | 0-3 |
| Jan 29 | Progreso v Boston … | 1-2 |
| Jan 22 | Progreso v Club Na… | 1-1 |
| Jan 19 | Progreso v Juventus | 0-1 |
Peñarol Montev…
16.0%
| Mar 21 | Peñarol… v Cerrito | 3-1 |
| Mar 21 | Peñarol… v Racing … | 0-0 |
| Mar 16 | Peñarol… v Atletic… | 0-0 |
| Mar 14 | Peñarol… v Albion … | 0-1 |
| Mar 10 | Peñarol… v Boston … | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Peñarol… v Danubio | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Peñarol… v Club Na… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Peñarol… v Cerro L… | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | Peñarol… v Indepen… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Peñarol… v Deporti… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Oct 26, 2025 | Peñarol Monte… | 3-1 | Progreso |
| Aug 01, 2025 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-1 | Progreso |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Progreso | 1-5 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Nov 03, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-1 | Progreso |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Progreso | 0-2 | Peñarol Monte… |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
46%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Peñarol Montevideo in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.