Primera División - Apertura · Mar 28, 2026 22:30
Atletico Torque
PWR 35
Club Nacional
PWR 35
Atletico Torque
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Club Nacional
PWR 35
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Atletico Torque Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (12%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
BTTS
No 47%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Atletico Torque
WDWWW
STABLE
Club Nacional
LWLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Atletico Torquevs
0.79
Club NacionalGoal Probability
Atletico To…
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Club Nacion…
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (19%)0-0 (14%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 2.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Atletico To…+3
Gap#7
Club Nacion…
WR 50% 10 pts
WR 67% 10 pts
Atletico Torque
18.0%
| Mar 21 | Atletic… v Central… | 2-1 |
| Mar 16 | Atletic… v Peñarol… | 0-0 |
| Mar 09 | Atletic… v Cerro L… | 0-1 |
| Mar 03 | Atletic… v Defenso… | 1-0 |
| Feb 26 | Atletic… v Defenso… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Atletic… v Wandere… | 0-4 |
| Feb 17 | Atletic… v Juventud | 2-2 |
| Feb 07 | Atletic… v Peñarol… | 3-1 |
| Jan 24 | Atletic… v Concepc… | 2-0 |
| Jan 14 | Atletic… v Cerro L… | 2-3 |
Club Nacional
8.0%
| Mar 21 | Club Na… v Defenso… | 2-1 |
| Mar 13 | Club Na… v Wandere… | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | Club Na… v Juventud | 3-1 |
| Mar 01 | Club Na… v Peñarol… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Club Na… v Progreso | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Club Na… v Racing … | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Club Na… v Boston … | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Club Na… v Peñarol… | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Club Na… v Concepc… | 1-0 |
| Jan 22 | Club Na… v Progreso | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Aug 02, 2025 | Club Nacional | 5-2 | Atletico Torq… |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Club Nacional | 4-0 | Atletico Torq… |
| Dec 07, 2023 | Club Nacional | 1-1 | Atletico Torq… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
49%
Market
50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Atletico Torque in strong form (4W in last 5)
Club Nacional struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.