Cearense - 2 · Mar 29, 2026 18:00
Caucaia
PWR 35
Guaraní de Bagé
PWR 39
PWR 39
2-1
predicted
Caucaia
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Guaraní de Bagé Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (12%)0-1 (10%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS
No 48%
Over 3.5
17%
Team Comparison
43Attack0
49Defense100
Goals/G
1.20.0
Conc/G
1.40.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Guaraní de Bagé
DDLLD
STABLE
Caucaia
LLLLL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 3% = 35.1% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Guaraní de Bagévs
1.08
CaucaiaGoal Probability
Guaraní de …
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Caucaia
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (17%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)0-0 (12%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 2.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 3.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Guaraní de …+9
Gap#13
Caucaia
WR 22% 11 pts
WR 25% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guaraní de Ba… | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 11 |
| Caucaia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
Guaraní de Bagé
6.0%
| Mar 22 | Guaraní… v Uniclin… | 2-2 |
| Mar 15 | Guaraní… v Cariri | 0-0 |
| Mar 11 | Guaraní… v Ponte P… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Guaraní… v Monsoon | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Guaraní… v Avenida | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | Guaraní… v Caxias | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Guaraní… v Inter S… | 0-1 |
| Feb 16 | Guaraní… v Inter S… | 3-2 |
| Feb 09 | Guaraní… v Avenida | 2-1 |
| Feb 06 | Guaraní… v Monsoon | 0-0 |
Caucaia
0.0%
| Mar 14 | Caucaia v Crateús | 1-4 |
| Nov 17 | Caucaia v Ceará II | 2-1 |
| Nov 09 | Caucaia v Maracan… | 0-1 |
| Nov 04 | Caucaia v WSG Wat… | 0-3 |
| Mar 23 | Caucaia v Itapipo… | 0-2 |
| Mar 20 | Caucaia v Maguary… | 2-1 |
| Mar 17 | Caucaia v Uniclin… | 0-4 |
| Nov 14 | Caucaia v Fortale… | 1-0 |
Decision Breakdown
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Caucaia struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.