First League · Mar 29, 2026 16:00
Rodina Moskva
PWR 35
Ural
PWR 35
Rodina Moskva
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Ural
PWR 35
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Rodina Moskva Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (28%)0-0 (25%)2-0 (16%)1-1 (7%)0-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%
83%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
18%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Rodina Moskva
DWWLW
STABLE
Ural
LWDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 4% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 42% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateCombined DR 65% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Rodina Moskvavs
0.26
UralGoal Probability
Rodina Mosk…
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Ural
0
77%
1
20%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (16%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)0-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 65% | 35% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 3.5 | 19% | 82% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Rodina Mosk…-1
Gap#2
Ural
WR 50% 43 pts
WR 46% 45 pts
Rodina Moskva
14.0%
| Mar 14 | Rodina … v SKA Kha… | 2-2 |
| Mar 08 | Rodina … v Torpedo… | 0-2 |
| Mar 02 | Rodina … v Shinnik… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Rodina … v Enisey | 3-1 |
| Feb 01 | Rodina … v FC Porto | 0-1 |
| Jan 26 | Rodina … v Shangha… | 1-1 |
| Dec 01 | Rodina … v KAMAZ | 0-0 |
| Nov 23 | Rodina … v Enisey | 0-0 |
| Nov 17 | Rodina … v Spartak… | 0-2 |
| Nov 08 | Rodina … v FK Neft… | 1-1 |
Ural
6.0%
| Mar 22 | Ural v Enisey | 2-4 |
| Mar 15 | Ural v Arsenal… | 2-0 |
| Mar 09 | Ural v Rotor V… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Ural v Fakel V… | 1-0 |
| Feb 20 | Ural v Akron | 0-1 |
| Feb 16 | Ural v Dinamo … | 2-1 |
| Feb 09 | Ural v Yunnan … | 2-0 |
| Feb 05 | Ural v Lokomot… | 2-3 |
| Jan 28 | Ural v Chengdu… | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | Ural v Pyunik … | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 02, 2025 | Ural | 2-1 | Rodina Moskva |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Rodina Moskva in strong form (3W in last 5)
Ural struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.