First League · Mar 29, 2026 14:00
Chayka
PWR 35
Chelyabinsk
PWR 35
Chayka
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Chelyabinsk
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (13%)0-1 (12%)0-0 (11%)2-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
63%
BTTS
No 44%
Over 3.5
29%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Chayka
DWLDW
STABLE
Chelyabinsk
DDWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 63% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Chaykavs
1.03
ChelyabinskGoal Probability
Chayka
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Chelyabinsk
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)0-1 (7%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
Chayka-12
Gap#5
Chelyabinsk
WR 8% 16 pts
WR 23% 37 pts
Chayka
12.0%
| Mar 14 | Chayka v Spartak… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Chayka v FK Soko… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Chayka v SKA Kha… | 1-3 |
| Feb 21 | Chayka v PK-35 | 1-1 |
| Feb 18 | Chayka v EIF | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Chayka v KäPa | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | Chayka v Altay | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Chayka v SJK Aka… | 1-2 |
| Jan 28 | Chayka v Enisey | 0-3 |
| Nov 29 | Chayka v FC UFA | 1-1 |
Chelyabinsk
12.0%
| Mar 15 | Chelyab… v Volga U… | 2-2 |
| Mar 07 | Chelyab… v Spartak… | 3-3 |
| Feb 28 | Chelyab… v FK Soko… | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Chelyab… v Zenit 2 | 2-1 |
| Feb 05 | Chelyab… v Baltika | 0-2 |
| Feb 01 | Chelyab… v Sogdiana | 0-1 |
| Nov 30 | Chelyab… v Fakel V… | 2-0 |
| Nov 24 | Chelyab… v Rotor V… | 0-2 |
| Nov 16 | Chelyab… v KAMAZ | 3-3 |
| Nov 10 | Chelyab… v FC UFA | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 08, 2025 | Chelyabinsk | 1-0 | Chayka |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.