First League · Mar 28, 2026 14:30
FK Neftekhimik
PWR 35
Shinnik Yaroslavl
PWR 35
FK Neftekhimik
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Shinnik Yaroslavl
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
FK Neftekhimik Win
Score
1-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (14%)1-0 (13%)3-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS
No 41%
Over 3.5
16%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FK Neftekhimik
WLWDD
STABLE
Shinnik Yarosl…
DDWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk36%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 42% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 45% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 87% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (36.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
FK Neftekhimikvs
0.62
Shinnik Yarosl…Goal Probability
FK Neftekhi…
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Shinnik Yar…
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (12%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 2.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 3.5 | 17% | 84% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
FK Neftekhi…+1
Gap#10
Shinnik Yar…
WR 33% 31 pts
WR 9% 30 pts
FK Neftekhimik
12.0%
| Mar 22 | FK Neft… v FK Soko… | 0-3 |
| Mar 16 | FK Neft… v Torpedo… | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | FK Neft… v FC UFA | 2-0 |
| Feb 17 | FK Neft… v Tekstil… | 0-0 |
| Feb 04 | FK Neft… v HamKam | 0-0 |
| Jan 30 | FK Neft… v Tyumen | 2-4 |
| Nov 30 | FK Neft… v Arsenal… | 0-0 |
| Nov 26 | FK Neft… v FC Rost… | 1-3 |
| Nov 22 | FK Neft… v Chayka | 2-4 |
| Nov 15 | FK Neft… v Ural | 1-0 |
Shinnik Yarosl…
12.0%
| Mar 22 | Shinnik… v Spartak… | 1-1 |
| Mar 15 | Shinnik… v Enisey | 1-1 |
| Mar 09 | Shinnik… v FC UFA | 1-0 |
| Mar 02 | Shinnik… v Rodina … | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Shinnik… v Ulytau | 1-0 |
| Nov 28 | Shinnik… v Chernom… | 2-1 |
| Nov 23 | Shinnik… v FK Soko… | 0-0 |
| Nov 16 | Shinnik… v Chayka | 4-1 |
| Nov 09 | Shinnik… v Rotor V… | 3-0 |
| Nov 01 | Shinnik… v Chelyab… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 15, 2025 | Shinnik Yaros… | 1-1 | FK Neftekhimik |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Shinnik Yaros… | 0-2 | FK Neftekhimik |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
89%
Standings
59%
Market
50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.