UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification · Mar 28, 2026 14:00
Italy U17
PWR 70
England
PWR 31
Italy U17
PWR 70
3-1
predicted
England
PWR 31
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.9/g, Away concedes 2.4/g, expected 4.2 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Italy U17 to win (95% confidence)
Score
3-1
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (23%)0-0 (19%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (10%)0-1 (9%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
24%
Under 2.5
76%
76%
BTTS
No
No 26%
Over 3.5
37%
Team Comparison
100Attack56
48Defense16
Goals/G
2.91.6
Conc/G
1.52.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Italy U17
LWLLD
STABLE
England
LDWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
Youth league excluded: U17
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Italy U17vs
0.46
EnglandGoal Probability
Italy U17
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
England
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-2 (11%)0-1 (10%)1-2 (10%)1-1 (9%)0-3 (8%)1-3 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 3.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 4.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Italy U17+29
Gap#32
England
WR 63% 16 pts
WR 20% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Italy U17 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 16 |
| England | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 3 |
Italy U17
6.0%
| Feb 20 | Italy U… v France | 1-2 |
| Feb 18 | Italy U… v France | 2-0 |
| Jan 22 | Italy U… v Japan U… | 3-0 |
| Jan 20 | Italy U… v Japan U… | 2-0 |
| Nov 27 | Italy U… v Brazil … | 0-0 |
| Nov 24 | Italy U… v Haiti U… | 2-0 |
| Nov 21 | Italy U… v Burkina… | 1-0 |
| Nov 18 | Italy U… v Morocco | 3-2 |
| Nov 18 | Italy U… v Uzbekis… | 3-2 |
| Nov 15 | Italy U… v Czech R… | 2-0 |
England
10.0%
| Nov 18 | England v Haiti U… | 4-0 |
| Nov 18 | England v Burkina… | 1-1 |
| Nov 17 | England v Andorra | 4-0 |
| Nov 16 | England v Ukraine | 2-0 |
| Nov 15 | England v Korea D… | 0-2 |
| Nov 15 | England v Arsenal | 0-1 |
| Nov 13 | England v Azerbai… | 0-2 |
| Nov 10 | England v Egypt | 0-3 |
| Nov 08 | England v Chile | 1-1 |
| Nov 07 | England v Haiti U… | 8-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| May 23, 2025 | Italy U17 | 4-2 | England |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Italy U17 struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.