AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
3. Liga Aug 30, 2025

FC SaarbrĂĽcken

Home
VS
12:00

Erzgebirge AUE

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
FC SaarbrĂĽcken Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Erzgebirge AUE Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 3.74 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 0.7
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC SaarbrĂĽcken Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Erzgebirge AUE Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
FC SaarbrĂĽcken Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 FC Saarbr… vs VfL Osnab… 2-0
Aug 15 FC Saarbr… vs FC Augsbu… 1-3
Aug 09 FC Saarbr… vs FC Viktor… 2-1
Aug 02 FC Saarbr… vs Energie C… 3-3
May 27 FC Saarbr… vs Eintracht… 2-2
May 23 FC Saarbr… vs Eintracht… 0-2
May 17 FC Saarbr… vs Borussia … 2-1
May 10 FC Saarbr… vs Alemannia… 4-2
May 03 FC Saarbr… vs Verl 4-3
Apr 26 FC Saarbr… vs Rot-Weiß … 0-3
Erzgebirge AUE Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Erzgebirg… vs Havelse 2-1
Aug 09 Erzgebirg… vs SSV Ulm 1… 1-0
Aug 03 Erzgebirg… vs Hansa Ros… 0-0
May 17 Erzgebirg… vs TSV 1860 … 1-1
May 10 Erzgebirg… vs SV Sandha… 2-3
May 04 Erzgebirg… vs FC Ingols… 1-0
Apr 26 Erzgebirg… vs Verl 5-1
Apr 20 Erzgebirg… vs Borussia … 2-1
Apr 08 Erzgebirg… vs FC Saarbr… 2-0
Mar 12 Erzgebirg… vs Hansa Ros… 4-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 08, 2025 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 2 - 0 Erzgebirge AUE 3. Liga
Nov 02, 2024 Erzgebirge AUE 1 - 1 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 3. Liga
Mar 09, 2024 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 2 - 0 Erzgebirge AUE 3. Liga
Oct 07, 2023 Erzgebirge AUE 2 - 0 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 3. Liga
Feb 26, 2023 Erzgebirge AUE 2 - 1 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 3. Liga
Aug 20, 2022 FC SaarbrĂĽcken 0 - 0 Erzgebirge AUE 3. Liga
Final Verdict

ELITE: FC SaarbrĂĽcken to win (90% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 2-0 90% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 70 vs 24
FC SaarbrĂĽcken Power 70
Erzgebirge AUE Power 25
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

FC SaarbrĂĽcken Position

+1

Position Gap

17

Erzgebirge AUE Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.